Sunday, August 15, 2021

What are we doing?

The First 5 minutes were all Colorado needed:

As far as bad starts go, I don't know if there's been a worse one all year.  In a game where we start super defensive, with 5 players in the backline, it took The Rapids about 15 seconds to fire a pass 40 yards downfield and get in behind the defense.  Tim Parker recovered well, made a nice sliding tackle, but conceded a corner. Corner, clearance foul free-kick -> Corner.  On the corner, the refs missed both an offside and the ball was out of bounds before Maric touched it, but whatever. We got a makeup call as soon as the ball came into play.  We won a free-kick, Maric dropped it off to Parker who made an inexcusably bad pass that was supposed to be to Jones, but wound up right at the feet of Cole Bassitt.  Bassitt found Deigo Rubio in a pocket just outside the 18.  Rubio fired a shot that Derrick Jones got a foot on, and the Rapids had another corner.  Jack Price delivered a tremendous ball, Lalas Abubakar was the first up, and beat Maynor Figueroa to the header.  Maric was leaning with the flow of play, and Abubakar delivered a ball from 5 yards out that Maric had no chance at.  1:0 - 4 minutes in.  It wasn't a bad start, it was an awful start.  The Dynamo managed to possess the ball for less than 10 seconds and managed one pass in the first four minutes.  

Tab had to change tactics quickly:



For the next 5 minutes, Colorado simply played keep away.  With the Dynamo sitting back in a five-deep formation, Colorado simply played the ball back and forth in the backline for the better part of 10 minutes.  When Michael Barrios found his way to the back post completely unmarked, Tab made a switch, pressing Junqua high and moving Maynor Figueroa to Left-back.  The move actually worked beautifully and Houston dominated the run of play for the rest of the first half.  Houston was winning the ball in dangerous spots, firing off beautiful combination play, and getting tremendous opportunities inside the box.  Urruti, Dorsey, and Mattias Vera all had dead on chances inside the 18, and none of it found the back of the net.  Finally, in stoppage time and right before the whistle should have blown, Maynor Figueroa controlled a loose ball off a corner, took an extra touch inside the box, and won a penalty in a beautiful veteran move.  Fafa put it home, and we had a good feeling going into the half with the score tied 1:1.  The Dynamo were the better team for 30 minutes of that half, and you had to feel they were going to pull this one out. They had created 13 chances in the first half, with 4-5 really good ones.  

After the half, Tab brought on Ariel Lassiter for Maynor in an attempt to get more attack-oriented.  Moving Junqua back to left-back and pushing Ariel up, and the second half began much like the first half ended.  The Dynamo came out controlling possession, spraying the ball around, and moving with purpose. Lassiter won a corner in the opening minutes of the half, blasting a left-footer into the box. The corner went long and out of bounds, but the Dynamo immediately stole the goal kick and went back on the attack.  For the first 5 minutes of the half, the Dynamo were completely outworking, out hustling, and outplaying the Rapids.  But, in a common theme for the year, most possessions ended in a cross into the box that didn't get past the first man, or a blast that wound up in the legs of the nearest defender. That began to change around the 51st-minute mark when Bassit fired a 25-yard shot that Maric easily grabbed.  It was a warning shot, but Colorado was beginning to find gaps in the Dynamo pressure.  Immediately after, Vera found Urruti on a great pass into the box, Urruti drew a penalty, but it was called back for offsides after VAR overturned it. While it was definitely a turning point in the game, it wasn't THE turning point in the game.  That'll come later.  The game turned back and forth, Andre Shinyashiki found Bassit right in front of the goal seconds after, Bassit hit the woodwork with a header and the Dynamo went on the counterattack.  Lassiter fired a left-footer to Ryan Yarbrough who managed to knock it wide.  Andre Shinyashiki found a crease to just miss the far post a little later.  

The Turning Point:

After some back and forth action, Derrick Jones lost the ball at midfield and Colorado was on the move.  Aaron Trusty hit a switch to Shinyashiki, who blasted one right off of Sam Junqua's face.  The carom was taken in by Mattias Vera, who had his pass downfield to Fafa hit the back of the head of the defender in front of him.  That carom was chased down by Shinyashiki, and as Junqua was trying to shake off the ball to the face Barrios raced past him to the back post for a goal.  While the goal put them down on the scoreboard, it's what happened next that didn't make any sense. Down 2-1, with 30 minutes to play, Tab subbed in two defensive players and took off two of our better attackers.  Switching Derrick Jones and Fafa Picault for Joe Corona and Zarek Valentine at this point in the game was dumbfounding.  Neither Corona nor Valentine really offer anything going forward, and with other options on the bench AND the fact that he had to move Griffen Dorsey to Right Wing was just completely confusing.  Not Bajamich, not Memo, We didn't sub off Vera or Dorsey, but we took off Fafa and Derrick Jones, two guys who can get forward.  It was only minutes later that Dorsey came off for Memo.  Tab's use of subs is often a mystery, but in this case, I completely can't understand it.  Junqua was obviously phased by the ball to the face, he stays on.  Fafa is the best wing player we have right now, he goes off.  About the only thing Valentine offers going forward is punching it down the sideline to Fafa, there's no Fafa on the field.  Jones is winning the ball in the midfield and those balls are being turned into chances, and we pull him off for Corona. 

Jones had 6 tackles + interceptions and had connected on 33/34 passes. Fafa had been taking on defenders and actually winning.  He won 3 out of 4 times he took someone on.  The Dynamo attack sputtered until Coco Carrasquilla had a Colorado pass come right to him at the 68-minute mark.  Carrasquilla charged hard, and dropped a perfect slip pass to Vera inside the box.  Vera blasted a right footer that found a diving Yarbrough.  The shot deflected back to Carrasquilla, who headed the ball back towards Vera but Yarbrough jumped in front of Vera to snag that too. The Dynamo created plenty of opportunities, none of which found the back of the net.  Carrasquilla twice found the Heinekken deck, and Urruti had a great opportunity right in front of the box that found the waiting arms of William Yarbrough yet again.  In the 80th minute, Brian Galvan officially ended it with a perfect bender to the far post.  Junqua was late, failed to get pressure, and Galvan had all day to line up his shot.  Maric had no chance as the ball nestled into the far side.  Over the final 10 minutes and the 6 minutes of added time, the Dynamo failed to put any real pressure on as Colorado sat back.  After an embarrassing moment where we had to pause play for homophobic chants, the game was quickly over.

A familiar display:

Tab tried a similar tactic the last time we played Colorado, starting with 5 in the back against Colorado on May 15th.  The result was the same, losing 3-1 in Denver.

Sam Junqua: 

We haven't won a game in which Sam Junqua started all season long.  We have a goal differential of -9 while he's on the pitch.  He's not helping us score (6 goals), he's directly responsible for too many goals (2/3 last night).  Junqua has made strides this year, and it's not his fault completely by any means, but the team has performed much better with Adam Lundkvist on the pitch. 

The Attack:

25 shots, 10 on target, 0 goals.  Over the last 7 games the attack has generated 3 goals from open play.  One of those was a Goalazo from Mattias Vera, another was created solely by Fafa Picault at the end of the Austin FC game.  Over the 7 games, the attack has totaled 90 Shots, 28 on target, 3 goals.  During this span, they've also had 45 corners and not a single goal to show for it.  The problem with this team isn't chance creation, it's chance completion.  

Anti-Voodoo needed:

I hear you Fire Matt Jordan and Tab Out fans......but for now can you just get your anti-voodoo mojo working?  It's apparent that at this point in time we need something supernatural to actually win a game.  If we could all just sit aside the intentions to raze this organization to it's very cure and instead try to rid it of it's demons for a week, maybe divine intervention will occur and 3 points will happen.

 After this game, even I'm ready to burn it all down:

Parker, Hadebe and Carrasquilla, you can stay.  Jones, you can stick around too.  Pasher, we'd like to keep you too but you can't seem to stay on the pitch. Vera, Memo, and Corona, we'll keep one of you for depth.  Everyone else, thank you for your service and your effort.  Please accept these nice parting gifts. Everyone else who gets a paycheck from the Dynamo (except for the wonderful stadium employees), please clean out your offices in a timely fashion.  Have a nice day though!

Next Up:

Wednesday - August 18th vs Real Salt Lake.

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

The Dynamo and the Superdraft: Missed opportunities to build a winner.

There is one clear-cut spot that the Dynamo front office has to improve: Finding gems in the SuperDraft.  It's a place to find young talent that's cheap, and....just like in other drafts from other leagues, if you know how to use your assets you can build a competitive team.  The Dynamo have not done that.  In fact, since the Dynamo selected Will Bruin with the 11th pick in 2011, the only player they've drafted that's had any sort of impact on their roster is Sam Junqua.  Some played a handful of games before being shipped out after a year (Cochran, Holland, Steeves). Most never made an appearance.  While the Superdraft is ALWAYS a crapshoot, what hurts is looking back players that were on the board that are currently All-Star Caliber players when the Dynamo made their selection.  That's not even to mention the players that have become role players, bench guys, or guys that simply fill in from time to time.  With only one Home Grown (Memo), and nothing from the draft for a decade, the Dynamo front office (more importantly their scouting department) has failed miserably in two vital building blocks to creating a quality roster on a budget.  

While I don't agree with everyone that Matt Jordan is THE reason the Dynamo have been soo bad over the last decade, I will say this: he should probably be fired for his draft performance alone.  The Dynamo haven't drafted well since Kinnear was roaming the sidelines here, and a decade of pulling absolutely nothing out of the draft has completely killed them.  With no draft hits, and nothing coming out of the academy, the Dynamo have had to result to veterans willing to come here on free transfers.  While I love Maynor Figueroa, convincing a 36-year-old to come play for the league minimum (which is less than a teacher in HISD makes) probably isn't going to make you a viable long-term winner.  If you look at teams like Portland, Seattle, and even newcomers like Atlanta, Minnesota, and Nashville have had some hits in the draft.  Austin looks like they have a pretty solid player in Daniel Periera, in their first-ever pick.  And if we are comparing teams in Texas, the team in Frisco has a really long list of SuperDraft hits to go along with their productive academy.  
Player TakenPlayers Missed On:
DraftsMLS MInutes PlayedRoundPickRoundPick:By:
20141887A.J. Cochran116Tommy McNamara220Chivas
462Mark Sherrod232Chris Duvall222NY Red Bulls
0Michael Lisch354Daniel Lovitz224Toronto FC
Jared Watts233Colorado Rapids
Aaron Long236Portland Timbers
total2349
201531Zach Steinberger18Tim Parker113Vancouver Whitecaps
0Oumar Ballo230Axel Sjöberg114Colorado Rapids
364Rob Lovejoy236Christian Roldan116Seattle Sounders
90Taylor Hunter349Amadou Dia120Sporting KC
Tyler Miller233Seattle Sounders
485
2016Traded to Philedelphia-> drafted Fabian Hebers16Richie Layea17Orlando City
0Ivan Magalhães226Andrew Tarbell18San Jose Earthquakes
0T.J. Casner347Tsubasa Endoh19Toronto FC
Tony Alfaro227Seattle Sounders
Matt Turnerundrafted
0
2017Traded to Timbers for $100k in allocation money,->draft Jeremy Ebobise14Jackson Yuell16San Jose Earthquakes
25Joe Holland110Julian Gressel18Atlanta United
0Jake McGuire230Chris Odoi-Atsem112D. C. United
0Danilo Radjen236Jacori Hayes118FC Dallas
0Robby Sagel470Nick DePuy119Montreal Impact
Stefan Cleveland226Chicago Fire
Shamit Shome241Montreal Impact
Brandt Bronico347Chicago Fire
Jack Elliot467Philadelphia Union
25
20180Michael Nelson120Alex Roldan122Seattle Sounders
28Mac Steeves243Daniel Musovski230San Jose Earthquakes
0Pablo Aguilar359Tom Barlow239NY Red Bulls
0Sheldon Sullivan366Luis Argudo367Columbus Crew
0Manny Padilla489
28
20191043Sam Junqua18Tajon Buchanan19New England Revolution
0Andrew Samuels233DeJuan Jones111New England Revolution
0Brad Dunwell356Chase Gaspar115Minnesota United
Kamal Miller227Orlando City
Hassani Dotson231Minnesota United
Amar Sejdič234Montreal Impact
1043
20200Garrett Mclaughlin18Alistair Johnston111Nashville SC
0Luka Prpa234Tanner Beason112San Jose Earthquakes
0Kyle Edwards484Joey Dezart231Orlando City
Jon Bell238San Jose Earthquakes
0Zach McGraw368Portland Timbers
3930
I see it on Twitter every year, the Eurosnobs mocking the MLS SuperDraft. You can absolutely build a winner through the draft if you know what you're doing.  Take New England for example.  Andrew Farrell, #1 in 2013.  Brandon Bye was taken #8 in the 2018 Draft.  In 2019, they got both Tajon Buchanon and DuJuan Jones, and they selected Henry Kessler #6 in 2020.  Add to that the fact that Matt Turner was signed as an undrafted free agent out of college.  Matt Polster for $363,000 from Rangers, Charles Gil for $1.65mil and you have a pretty solid lineup for not much money.  Of course, it also helps if you have $11mil to throw at Buska and Bou in one offseason. The draft has built the backbone of their roster, and transfers built the glitz.  And before you scream "It's one season!" or "It's Bruce Arena!" realize the amount of starters and key players they got straight from the draft.  DeJuan Jones, drafted #11 in 2019, has played almost the same number of MLS minutes (3,804) as all the Dynamo players drafted from 2014-2021....combined (3,930).  New England had gotten a lot of flack for the way things had been run in recent years, but one place that has set them up for being first in the Eastern Conference is the draft.

Seattle got both Roldans (Christian - 2015, Alex - 2018) through the SuperDraft.  In 2015, they traded a conditional first-round pick to Toronto for Stefan Frei.  The pick ended up being involved in a myriad of trades, resulting in Colorado getting Axel Sjöberg.  Seattle, in effect, came away with Christian Roldan and Stefan Frei in the first round of 2015.  That's a draft that makes any MLS teams for the better.  In 2016, Seattle signed the winner of the MAC Hermann Trophy and Pac-12 player of the year Jordan Morris to the biggest Home Grown Player contract at the time. They got Stefan Cleveland for a conditional first-round pick in 2020.  Does Seattle splash money on high talent attackers?   Yes. Raul Ruidiaz and Nicolas Lodeiro came with a nice price tag, but Seattle has also pulled some really nice players out of the draft. You add the draft, homegrowns, and the ability to go spend $3-$7 mil on a player every year, and you've got a consistent winner.  The main reason is if you are drafting and producing Homegrowns, you can spend that money on one player instead of 5.  Seattle has provided a roadmap to do this and has done it better than anyone.


In 2017, Atlanta United hit on both Miles Robinson (2nd pick) and Julian Gressel (8th pick). The next year, the found John Gallagher who made 16 appearances scoring 4 goals before they got $225,000 in Allocation money from Austin for him.  He's made 7 starts for Austin this year.

Minnesota United has landed two starters (Hassani Dotson, Chase Gaspar), and also picked up Mason Toye (7th overall) in 2018. Toye was flipped for $600,000 in General Allocation Money.  Minnesota may have given up on Toye a little too early, as he's scored 7 goals in 799 minutes so far this year, and he's only 22 years old.

Philadelphia traded midfielder Cristian Maidana and forward Andrew Wenger to us for an undisclosed amount of general allocation money, targeted allocation money, and the #6 pick in 2016. Philadelphia used that pick to snag Fabian Herbers.  While Herbers hasn't had a spectacular career, he's a solid MLS vet who's logged over 5,600 minutes between Philadelphia and Chicago.  Maidana played one season for us before leaving on a free.  He pitched in 3 goals and 4 assists in 1700 minutes. While Maidana was the player we were after, Wenger made a longer impact. Wenger made 56 starts (75 appearances) and plugged in 4800 minutes tallying 10 goals and 5 assists.   Wenger was out of pro soccer by 2018, but Herbers is still plugging along at Chicago.

In 2017 Portland gave us #10 selection in the 2017 SuperDraft, an international roster slot for the 2017 season, and $100,000 in general allocation money in exchange for #4 pick, and got Jeremy Ebobisse.  While the speedster has been inconsistent at times, he logged 26 goals and 6 assists and made 54 starts for Portland.  His 89 appearances and 5,144 minutes in MLS are more than every Dynamo draft pick going all the way back to 2011.  He could have looked really nice with Quioto, Elis, Erick Torres, and Mauro Monatas in Wilmer Cabrera's system.  Instead, we picked up Joe Holland who accumulated a whopping 25 MLS minutes and was out of professional soccer after 4 years.  Holland last played for Birmingham F.C. in USL during the 2019 season, amassing 474 minutes over 15 appearances.

What will Ethan Bartlow be?  Who knows, but with signing Parker and Hadebe through the next three years he won't be anything important here.....unless he can play full back.  Bartlow looks like he has upside, but to date hasn't made an appearance for anyone, or played a single professional minute.  One thing is for sure, the Dynamo need to find direction.  Honestly, they need a scouting department overhaul. I don't know how you go a decade without drafting a single viable player, but the Dynamo have managed to do it.  In today's MLS, can you build a championship team through the draft alone?  No, absolutely not.   However, there is a lot of talent picked up in the draft every year, especially in recent years.  I wrote earlier about how the front office lacks creativity, this is part of it.  The Dynamo need to be able to mine talent from every available resource, and ever since Kinnear left Houston, this has been the worst talent acquisition resource.  The draft has actually been worse than our academy if you can believe it.  If we are ever to be anything here, we need to fix both.

Thanks again for reading, 
#HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange.