Tuesday, August 10, 2021

The Dynamo and the Superdraft: Missed opportunities to build a winner.

There is one clear-cut spot that the Dynamo front office has to improve: Finding gems in the SuperDraft.  It's a place to find young talent that's cheap, and....just like in other drafts from other leagues, if you know how to use your assets you can build a competitive team.  The Dynamo have not done that.  In fact, since the Dynamo selected Will Bruin with the 11th pick in 2011, the only player they've drafted that's had any sort of impact on their roster is Sam Junqua.  Some played a handful of games before being shipped out after a year (Cochran, Holland, Steeves). Most never made an appearance.  While the Superdraft is ALWAYS a crapshoot, what hurts is looking back players that were on the board that are currently All-Star Caliber players when the Dynamo made their selection.  That's not even to mention the players that have become role players, bench guys, or guys that simply fill in from time to time.  With only one Home Grown (Memo), and nothing from the draft for a decade, the Dynamo front office (more importantly their scouting department) has failed miserably in two vital building blocks to creating a quality roster on a budget.  

While I don't agree with everyone that Matt Jordan is THE reason the Dynamo have been soo bad over the last decade, I will say this: he should probably be fired for his draft performance alone.  The Dynamo haven't drafted well since Kinnear was roaming the sidelines here, and a decade of pulling absolutely nothing out of the draft has completely killed them.  With no draft hits, and nothing coming out of the academy, the Dynamo have had to result to veterans willing to come here on free transfers.  While I love Maynor Figueroa, convincing a 36-year-old to come play for the league minimum (which is less than a teacher in HISD makes) probably isn't going to make you a viable long-term winner.  If you look at teams like Portland, Seattle, and even newcomers like Atlanta, Minnesota, and Nashville have had some hits in the draft.  Austin looks like they have a pretty solid player in Daniel Periera, in their first-ever pick.  And if we are comparing teams in Texas, the team in Frisco has a really long list of SuperDraft hits to go along with their productive academy.  
Player TakenPlayers Missed On:
DraftsMLS MInutes PlayedRoundPickRoundPick:By:
20141887A.J. Cochran116Tommy McNamara220Chivas
462Mark Sherrod232Chris Duvall222NY Red Bulls
0Michael Lisch354Daniel Lovitz224Toronto FC
Jared Watts233Colorado Rapids
Aaron Long236Portland Timbers
total2349
201531Zach Steinberger18Tim Parker113Vancouver Whitecaps
0Oumar Ballo230Axel Sjöberg114Colorado Rapids
364Rob Lovejoy236Christian Roldan116Seattle Sounders
90Taylor Hunter349Amadou Dia120Sporting KC
Tyler Miller233Seattle Sounders
485
2016Traded to Philedelphia-> drafted Fabian Hebers16Richie Layea17Orlando City
0Ivan Magalhães226Andrew Tarbell18San Jose Earthquakes
0T.J. Casner347Tsubasa Endoh19Toronto FC
Tony Alfaro227Seattle Sounders
Matt Turnerundrafted
0
2017Traded to Timbers for $100k in allocation money,->draft Jeremy Ebobise14Jackson Yuell16San Jose Earthquakes
25Joe Holland110Julian Gressel18Atlanta United
0Jake McGuire230Chris Odoi-Atsem112D. C. United
0Danilo Radjen236Jacori Hayes118FC Dallas
0Robby Sagel470Nick DePuy119Montreal Impact
Stefan Cleveland226Chicago Fire
Shamit Shome241Montreal Impact
Brandt Bronico347Chicago Fire
Jack Elliot467Philadelphia Union
25
20180Michael Nelson120Alex Roldan122Seattle Sounders
28Mac Steeves243Daniel Musovski230San Jose Earthquakes
0Pablo Aguilar359Tom Barlow239NY Red Bulls
0Sheldon Sullivan366Luis Argudo367Columbus Crew
0Manny Padilla489
28
20191043Sam Junqua18Tajon Buchanan19New England Revolution
0Andrew Samuels233DeJuan Jones111New England Revolution
0Brad Dunwell356Chase Gaspar115Minnesota United
Kamal Miller227Orlando City
Hassani Dotson231Minnesota United
Amar Sejdič234Montreal Impact
1043
20200Garrett Mclaughlin18Alistair Johnston111Nashville SC
0Luka Prpa234Tanner Beason112San Jose Earthquakes
0Kyle Edwards484Joey Dezart231Orlando City
Jon Bell238San Jose Earthquakes
0Zach McGraw368Portland Timbers
3930
I see it on Twitter every year, the Eurosnobs mocking the MLS SuperDraft. You can absolutely build a winner through the draft if you know what you're doing.  Take New England for example.  Andrew Farrell, #1 in 2013.  Brandon Bye was taken #8 in the 2018 Draft.  In 2019, they got both Tajon Buchanon and DuJuan Jones, and they selected Henry Kessler #6 in 2020.  Add to that the fact that Matt Turner was signed as an undrafted free agent out of college.  Matt Polster for $363,000 from Rangers, Charles Gil for $1.65mil and you have a pretty solid lineup for not much money.  Of course, it also helps if you have $11mil to throw at Buska and Bou in one offseason. The draft has built the backbone of their roster, and transfers built the glitz.  And before you scream "It's one season!" or "It's Bruce Arena!" realize the amount of starters and key players they got straight from the draft.  DeJuan Jones, drafted #11 in 2019, has played almost the same number of MLS minutes (3,804) as all the Dynamo players drafted from 2014-2021....combined (3,930).  New England had gotten a lot of flack for the way things had been run in recent years, but one place that has set them up for being first in the Eastern Conference is the draft.

Seattle got both Roldans (Christian - 2015, Alex - 2018) through the SuperDraft.  In 2015, they traded a conditional first-round pick to Toronto for Stefan Frei.  The pick ended up being involved in a myriad of trades, resulting in Colorado getting Axel Sjöberg.  Seattle, in effect, came away with Christian Roldan and Stefan Frei in the first round of 2015.  That's a draft that makes any MLS teams for the better.  In 2016, Seattle signed the winner of the MAC Hermann Trophy and Pac-12 player of the year Jordan Morris to the biggest Home Grown Player contract at the time. They got Stefan Cleveland for a conditional first-round pick in 2020.  Does Seattle splash money on high talent attackers?   Yes. Raul Ruidiaz and Nicolas Lodeiro came with a nice price tag, but Seattle has also pulled some really nice players out of the draft. You add the draft, homegrowns, and the ability to go spend $3-$7 mil on a player every year, and you've got a consistent winner.  The main reason is if you are drafting and producing Homegrowns, you can spend that money on one player instead of 5.  Seattle has provided a roadmap to do this and has done it better than anyone.


In 2017, Atlanta United hit on both Miles Robinson (2nd pick) and Julian Gressel (8th pick). The next year, the found John Gallagher who made 16 appearances scoring 4 goals before they got $225,000 in Allocation money from Austin for him.  He's made 7 starts for Austin this year.

Minnesota United has landed two starters (Hassani Dotson, Chase Gaspar), and also picked up Mason Toye (7th overall) in 2018. Toye was flipped for $600,000 in General Allocation Money.  Minnesota may have given up on Toye a little too early, as he's scored 7 goals in 799 minutes so far this year, and he's only 22 years old.

Philadelphia traded midfielder Cristian Maidana and forward Andrew Wenger to us for an undisclosed amount of general allocation money, targeted allocation money, and the #6 pick in 2016. Philadelphia used that pick to snag Fabian Herbers.  While Herbers hasn't had a spectacular career, he's a solid MLS vet who's logged over 5,600 minutes between Philadelphia and Chicago.  Maidana played one season for us before leaving on a free.  He pitched in 3 goals and 4 assists in 1700 minutes. While Maidana was the player we were after, Wenger made a longer impact. Wenger made 56 starts (75 appearances) and plugged in 4800 minutes tallying 10 goals and 5 assists.   Wenger was out of pro soccer by 2018, but Herbers is still plugging along at Chicago.

In 2017 Portland gave us #10 selection in the 2017 SuperDraft, an international roster slot for the 2017 season, and $100,000 in general allocation money in exchange for #4 pick, and got Jeremy Ebobisse.  While the speedster has been inconsistent at times, he logged 26 goals and 6 assists and made 54 starts for Portland.  His 89 appearances and 5,144 minutes in MLS are more than every Dynamo draft pick going all the way back to 2011.  He could have looked really nice with Quioto, Elis, Erick Torres, and Mauro Monatas in Wilmer Cabrera's system.  Instead, we picked up Joe Holland who accumulated a whopping 25 MLS minutes and was out of professional soccer after 4 years.  Holland last played for Birmingham F.C. in USL during the 2019 season, amassing 474 minutes over 15 appearances.

What will Ethan Bartlow be?  Who knows, but with signing Parker and Hadebe through the next three years he won't be anything important here.....unless he can play full back.  Bartlow looks like he has upside, but to date hasn't made an appearance for anyone, or played a single professional minute.  One thing is for sure, the Dynamo need to find direction.  Honestly, they need a scouting department overhaul. I don't know how you go a decade without drafting a single viable player, but the Dynamo have managed to do it.  In today's MLS, can you build a championship team through the draft alone?  No, absolutely not.   However, there is a lot of talent picked up in the draft every year, especially in recent years.  I wrote earlier about how the front office lacks creativity, this is part of it.  The Dynamo need to be able to mine talent from every available resource, and ever since Kinnear left Houston, this has been the worst talent acquisition resource.  The draft has actually been worse than our academy if you can believe it.  If we are ever to be anything here, we need to fix both.

Thanks again for reading, 
#HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange.

Sunday, August 8, 2021

This week's losses have fans heated. Is it time to clean house?



11 games.  11 stinking games.  That's about a third of an MLS season.  It's been just over 2 months since we've seen a game end and the Dynamo came away with all three points. I was still teaching classes the last time the Dynamo won a game.  This summer has been miserable, not just because of all the rain, and all the heat, and because......you know.......2021 is a soul-sucking banshee, but because we discovered that this team isn't all that good.  There's plenty of blame to go around.  From the previous owners to the GM, to Tab, and the rest of the coaching staff.  There's plenty of blame to put down on the players too, I mean....Zarek Valentine has been getting his fair share the last few weeks.  So, we should just tear it all apart and clean house right?  Right?

If you're wondering what my answer is, it's pretty simple: No.  I don't know if I'm an outlier here, but I know I stand very alone on message boards and Reddit.  Do I think we can find a better coach than Tab Ramos?  No, not really.  Is Tab probably going to be shown the door in the offseason?  Most likely.  Do I think there are better GMs than Matt Jordan?  Absolutely. Do I think Matt Jordan is the worst GM ever?  No, I don't.  He's found some pretty good gems in his time in Houston, and he's had a few busts.  There are guys that the jury is still out on (Bajamich). 

 Let me be clear.  I think Tab is a good coach.  I think he's tactically sound, I feel he's transformed the defense this offseason, and Matt Jordan helped him do it.  The concern has always been where the goals are going to come from.  I've been saying that since before the season started.  He's soo desperate to find a player that can create goals, we are literally picking guys of the street (Griffen Dorsey) and throwing them on the field.  We played a guy yesterday (Coco Carrasquilla) that hadn't even practiced with the team yet, as he had just got his visa that morning.  "TAB'S TOO STUCK TO HIS SYSTEM!" He's used 4 different formations this year.  He runs a fluid 4-3-3, that bounces between a 4-2-3-1, a 4-1-4-1 and a 4-4-2 depending on who is playing and who they are playing against.  "IT'S A TIRED, BORING SYSTEM!" The system is generating the 9th most shots per 90 in the league, with 3 holding midfielders and no real #10.  Those shots are coming from the 8th closest distance in MLS (16.8 yards/shot).  The problem is the guys taking those shots just aren't that good.  

"WE NEED TO OVERHAUL THIS ROSTER!" Uh, we've pretty much been doing that since the beginning of last year.  Since the end of last season, we've massively upgraded both CB spots, added two really nice midfielders (and maybe a third), upgraded both wings, and added one solid striker and during the season went out and got another.  Sam Junqua has taken over for Adam Lundkvist at LB. We've added Teenage Hadebe, a backup striker who is fairly solid (Corey Baird), and a young creative midfielder in the last couple of weeks. The roster overhaul has been going on since Tab took over.  Now it's time to let it gel.  This has nothing to do with "continuity through ownership change". But teams need continuity.  Playing without your best 3 best attacking players (Pasher, Urruti, and Quintero) last night didn't help either.  


If I blame Tab for anything this year, it's for not giving Quintero a single start despite fielding a team that is struggling to score.  Tyler Pasher is our best creative player, he's played 591 minutes.  That's about 1/3rd of the minutes the Dynamo have played this year.  He's second on the team in goals and leads them in assists in 1/2 the touches of Memo, Mattias Vera, and Fafa Picault and about 1/3rd of Joe Corona's. Do I blame him for Zarek playing soo many minutes?  No, because we don't have anyone else to put there.  "BUT, BIZAMA!" Bizama isn't an MLS player.  Tab didn't think so, neither did any other MLS team out there.  We can see how he does at Charlotte, but the Dynamo have a record of 2-1-9 when he starts over the last three years.  I don't know that no MLS team wanted him this transfer window, but I strongly suspect they didn't.  That was a Matt Jordan bust, but most likely was a scouting department bust.  But if the guy that brought you Elis, Quioto, Manotas, Boniek, Ceren, and others says this guy can play, wouldn't you trust him? Tab's putting guys in position to make plays.  They don't make plays.  You know why they don't make plays?  Because they aren't that good.  That's not on Tab, but he'll take the fall for it.  The guy Tab trusted to make plays this year (Memo) can't, and no one in this town wants to admit it.  That's on Tab too.  He's put Memo in important positions in every game, and Memo isn't getting the job done.  Memo isn't a #10, he's more of an #8 with a little #6.  Honestly, the way Memo defends the wings I'd like to see him play RB.  At least that'd give us a guy who can defend and progress the ball down the field, maybe get a cross in while he's at it.

This is rambling I know.  I'm frustrated.  Ted Segal needs to figure out what to do to right this ship.  I don't feel like Tab is the problem.  I don't really feel Matt Jordan was THE problem, but I agree he could have done a better job.  It's tuff to evaluate how good we should be, when we are near the bottom of the league in spending every year.  There are multiple expansion teams with higher payrolls than us.  I think Jordan is gone, and probably Tab too.  I'd give each another season with new ownership and better support before I make that decision though. I'd give each another season regardless since this has been a rebuild project since day 1.  We've been rebuilding forever since Kinnear left, this is just a rebuild I'd actually give time to. We are soo impatient to win now, we want to bypass all the important things it takes to get us there. You want to build an academy from scratch?  It takes time.  You want to develop young players?  It takes time.  You want to rebuild facilities?  It takes time.  Winning.....real winning, takes time.  Sure, you can rebuild an MLS team in a year or two, but not even the great Zlatan got LAG to the playoffs every year.  To build a lasting structure takes time, or else it crumbles and fades away. With as many changes as this team has made in the last year, they are still two players away from contending for anything.  They need another wing that can actually make plays, and they need a midfielder that can break down defenses from the middle of the field and give service to Urruti and Pasher. They also need Pasher to be healthy and on the field. I stated before the season started this team wasn't good enough to make the playoffs because they didn't have enough scoring options.  That's when I thought Darwin was going to play.  Clean House?  Sure.....why not?  Just be careful what you ask for.  Things actually could be a whole lot worse around here. 

Thursday, August 5, 2021

Dynamo fans taking up stock in the pink stuff.


 What is there to say that hasn't been said already?  At least this game was......different.  Instead of a really solid defensive performance spoiled by 1 ridiculous error and a complete lack of finishing off possessions, it was a series of errors, a complete lapse in composure that led to being down a man and being consistently outworked to the ball through the course of a game.  The Dynamo lost this game. Not because Austin FC was hands down better than us, but because we consistently shot ourselves in the foot.  Look at the first goal.  Everyone is going to point at Zarek.  But the real problem started long before that.  Joe Corona started the entire ordeal with an awful headed clearance that went six inches behind him.  No Dynamo defender (and there were 6 of them) reacted to the ball, Berhalter simply spun, snagged the ball and fired it to the penalty arc.  As the Dynamo were now chasing, and reacting late, they completely lost shape.  Tim Parker was in the middle of 3 green shirts, and was the only one there.  Cecilio Dominguez chested the ball perfectly past Parker to Pochettino, who took a good touch and fired one of the back post.  Call it a terrible reaction, call it bad luck, (it was probably a little of both) Valentine reacted just well enough to blast it in the back of the net for his second own goal in 3 games.  6 minutes in, and we are now down 1-0 against a team that can't score.  You're welcome Verde FC, you're very welcome indeed.
The Dynamo actually looked good going forward in the early part of this game.  Corey Baird, Tyler Pasher, Fafa Picault, and Joe Corona were actually putting a lot of pressure on Verde's backline.  Baird makes nice runs off the ball, both into the box and into the wide spaces behind the fullbacks.  That's why Darwin Ceren's red card in the 20th minute was soo devastating.  

Darwin Cerén is a veteran.  He's 31 years old with 8 years of MLS experience and has been playing professionally since he was 16.  He just got back from having a really good run in the Gold Cup for El Salvadore and put in a nice 90 minutes against RSL. He has to know better than this.  Yes, I know Sebastian Berhalter was tackling you.  You go down.  You draw a foul, maybe a yellow, and you fight another play.  If you want to retaliate, you let him know who you are the next time he gets the ball.  If you want him off you, you swipe his arms.  You throw an elbow to the head and it's a straight red every time unless you play for El Tri and it's in a CONCACAF competition.  20 minutes in.  70 minutes + Stoppage time to be a man down is too long for any team.  Twice in the first 20 minutes, the Dynamo did the inexcusable.  They tried to fight back, only minutes later Corey Baird got loose behind the defense (which he's really good at by the way) and fired a left-footer that Brad Stuver was able to knock away.  Tyler Pasher wanted it more than anyone else and was able to get his left foot on the ball.  It went top corner, and the game tied 1:1.

The goal was actually a gift from Julio Cascante.  I don't really know what he saw, but he passed the ball directly to Mattias Vera with tons of space and 3 Orange Shirts streaking towards the goal.  Vera laid a nice pass out in front of Baird who went and got it.  Austin really gifted us one back here, but props to the guys for actually making a play.  

Of course, this ended in the third big blow of the night, as Tyler Pasher went down with an injury right after. The 45th-minute goal by Pochettino wasn't just him being in the right place at the right time.  It was Austin FC beating us to not one, but two balls as Diego Fagúndez chased down the ball headed out of the box, and Pochettino snatched his shot and fired it to the near post between two Dynamo sliding defenders and Maric trying to second save.  The Dynamo went into halftime down 1:2, although Brad Davis declared they were "within striking distance here" right after the second half opened, you didn't really feel that was logical.  We can't score, and Austin's midfield and Wings were winning their battles convincingly.  Berhalter, Pochettino and Ring were dominating the game.  Valentine and Junqua (who have actually been solid defensively over the last three games) were getting run off the field by Dominguez and Fagundez. Even Parker and Hadebe were caught out of position and slow to the ball at times.  

When Dominguez's header off the cross found the back of the net in the 56th minute, you knew it was done. Dominguez just beat Valentine to the ball, and got a good enough head on it to get it past Marco. There was no pressure on the ball as it came into the box, Fagundez dropped it in a perfect spot, and it was 3:1. Despite an amazing effort goal by Fafa to cut it back to 1, playing a man down for 70 minutes against a team that was just throwing guys forward was too much to overcome.  We lost shape, Austin ran us to death with the possession game, and we couldn't hit a counter despite having the two fastest guys on the field up top.  Baird was often all the way down in the defending corner, giving us no chance to counter effectively.  Losing Pasher (again) really hurt, and while I like Griffen Dorsey and his effort.....he can't do what Pasher can do.  This game was over long before it was over.

On another note (and feel free to comment), did anyone else think it was odd the way the game just ended with the ball at Memo's feet outside the box?  I've never seen a game end like that, it was just.....strange.

Thoughts:

I understand Tab has to rotate the squad.  3 games in 8 days is a load, despite all the time off.  Discipline scenarios and Gold Cup rosters have led to part of that as well.  We have 3 guys on the Health and Safety list now as well (Urruti, Quintero, Lassiter).  I'm still not on the "Tab Out" train yet.  I'm not even on the "Matt Jordon Out" bus.  There has been an insane amount of roster turnover on this team in 3 months.  Their best offensive player has missed over half the season.  They don't have a single midfielder who actually poses a treat with the dribble or the pass.  Despite all this, I'm sick of saying "well, we almost......" or "we were right there if we just could have......" or "if it hadn't been for ______'s mental lapse" we would have won the game.  It's a common thread, this team is constantly costing themselves points.  Our fullbacks might be the worst pair in the league and our midfield is abysmal in attack.  What do we do?  I don't know.  Hopefully, Adalberto Carrasquilla can actually play. It'd be nice if he could be to the midfield what Teenage Hadebe has been to the backline.

Despite all my heartburn, I'm still trying to #HoldItDown and I will always be #ForeverOrage

Thanks for reading,
Brian

Sunday, July 25, 2021

Suit Game: Impeccable -> Tie Game: On Point!

 


There's no recap here.  You want a recap?  The Dynamo can't score.  They defend like madmen for 89.9 minutes (plus 11 minutes of stoppage time) only to see the game slip away by a total defensive blunder. There's the game.  That's it in a nutshell. That's EVERY game in a nutshell.  That's the SEASON in a nutshell. And look.......I get it.  It's frustrating to watch.  It's easy to throw the blame at Tab, or Matt Jordan, or (insert midfielder or fullback here), but the honest truth is: THIS TEAM IS JUST NOT GOOD ENOUGH.  This won't be a recap, this will be a rant. 

It's a scary state, really, when your entire attack hinges on a 26-year-old left-footed Canadian who was a solid USL player for two years.  It's even scarier when the attack isn't even that effective when he's on the field.  Don't get me wrong, Tyler Pasher was a really nice signing.  He's been effective (when he's actually been in the lineup), he's our best wing player by a landslide, and he didn't cost all that much.  Last night was a night that reflected how absolutely mediocre this attack is.  It's a shame, because the defense has been massively upgraded this offseason. Tim Parker is as good as advertised, so is Teenage Hadebe.  Joe Corona and Derrick Jones have been really solid signings this year, and they fly all over the field and scoop up balls.  They occasionally make really nice plays with the ball at their feet, it's just not often enough.  Sam Junqua has made huge strides this year at LB, he's still got a ways to go.  The Dynamo just went three halves without allowing a shot on goal.  No matter who you are playing, that's quite a feat. They haven't allowed the other team to score in five of their last six halves. They hold shape well, they scramble and recover, and their work rate is tremendous.  It's just not going to be good enough.  
I began asking this question in the offseason: Where are the goals going to come from? The Dynamo are currently on pace to record their worst goal output season.....are you ready for this?........ever.  Their current average of 1.13 goals per game is the lowest in the franchise's history.  It's slightly behind 2016's and 2014's pace of 1.15.  What's most frustrating is against San Jose, the opportunities were there.  Corona hits Memo with a beautiful pass on the run after the high press gets the Dynamo possession and some combo play.  Memo times it up perfectly, and then hits the ball right to the keeper.  Fafa makes a great run down the wing, hits Memo with a perfect pass in the perfect spot with space and time.......and Memo blasts it off Griffen Dorsey's face.  He rushed it, he hit it horribly, and despite how open he was that ball had absolutely no chance of going in or allowing Dorsey to make a play.  Dorsey hit Urruti with a nice little chip pass 7 yards from the box.  Maxi can't get a good foot on it and just floats far to the back post.  Despite all the nice runs, terrific passes, and give-and-go action that led to players with the ball in dangerous positions, it took a wonder-strike from Mattias Vera to snatch a point. Tabs squad has scored 1 goal after the 56th minute the entire year, which coincidentally is when the only player wearing #ForeverOrange that has the ability to be a playmaking midfielder steps on the field.  It's frustrating, its infuriating, it's.........just soo mediocre. 

Not to keep rubbing it in, but I called that too in the pre-season. So, lets take a quick look at the attack and what is going wrong.  It's easy to blame it on Tab (and please don't take this is me giving him a pass), but that's not the focus here.  

Maxi Urruti:

It's hard for me to be critical of this guy.  I love his work ethic, he plays hard, and he plays 90+ minutes almost every game.  But, when your attack is hinging on a 30-year-old, journeyman center-forward who has never scored more than 12 goals in an MLS season......this is what you get.  Maxi is a hard worker.  He is one of the best pressing Center-Forwards in MLS.  He's just not particularly skilled with the ball at his feet.  Maxi basically has three problems: 
  1. He can't turn:  When Urruti has gotten the ball in the slot, with his back to the goal, he can't simply turn and find (a) the goal; (b) a teammate.  Often he spends soo much time fighting for position he loses the ball.  He's not going to have that much time here.  Defenses are keying on him, because he's the only real goal-scoring threat we have.  By the time he tries to back away the defender, two more are on top of him.  Because of his slight frame, often all that work results in him gaining no ground and having the ball knocked away.  He's got to be able to find a teammate behind him and spin and run to space, or simply turn quickly.  
  2. He has bad first touch:   When Urruti gets the ball in space, he often tries to take a first touch to quiet the ball down before he strikes it.  More often than not, that ball is knocked too far away for him to comfortably do anything with it.  This results in either him rushing something, or giving the ball away.  
  3. He takes too many touches: Even when he takes a good first touch, Urruti is hesitant to simply shoot the ball.  He's got to be quicker, more direct, and simply put his laces on the ball.  Maxi gets himself (and the ball) in good positions inside the box and quite frequently never even gets a shot off. Hes' got 224 touches in the attacking third this year, and 62 inside the box. A perfect example came in the 40th minute against San Jose, after a nice shot by Fafa, the rebound came directly to Maxi.  He had the ball just inside the 18, with a defender at his back and the ball in the air.  Instead of simply waiting for it and hitting it on the way down, he tried to punch it up behind him, spun around the defender, took it over his shoulder again......and lost the ball.
Despite all the griping, Urruti is averaging 3.62 shots per game (9th in the league) and of the people in the top 10 in shots per 90, he has the highest On Target percentage of any of them (40.8%).  He's scored 6 goals this year, which is double what Mauro Manotas scored last year.  He's been an upgrade over Mauro from last year, but he can still be better for this club. His goals/shot, however(.12) is tied for 92nd in MLS.  Compare that with Pepi (.32) and Chicharito (.38). Last year he converted at .25 goals/shot. These stats also only account for the times he's touched or shot the ball.  He's yet to get on the end of some fairly crafty passes by Darwin Quintero.  Those two (much like Darwin and Manotas) are not on the same page at all.  With Pasher out, Maxi has to carry the load better.  He doesn't have to put the entire team on his back, he just needs to be more efficient when he has the ball.

Fafa Picault

There's not going to be a big write-up here.  I honestly didn't have large expectations from Fafa.  They were soo low in fact, that he's actually exceeded them already. Fafa works extremely hard.  He defends the entire sideline and tracks back like a maniac.  He's just not very good at what a winger should be good at.  Despite his speed, and his flashy ball skills, he's not very good with the ball at his feet. His left foot is actually extremely poor, especially on crosses. He occasionally goes by a defender and finds a wide-open teammate, but it rarely pays off.  He's not a very accurate shooter (Shot on Target % of 12.5%, which is 28% under his career average), and when he does find space to shoot it normally winds up in the stands.  In reality, Fafa is a stopgap for someone else.  He's 30 years old, is on the downside of his career, but is a major upgrade from the "Post Alberth Elis" guys we saw last year.  

Tyler Pasher

Tyler's actually been good and a pleasant surprise.  Of the signings, he was both the one I was most intrigued by and the one I had the least expectations for.  I thought it would take him a little time to get acclimated to MLS after spending the last few years in USL.  Your Friendly Neighborhood Canadian can actually play through.  Pasher actually needs to find a way to get more involved in the attack.  He's an extremely accurate shooter, and his SOT% of 57.1% is good for fourteenth in the league.  His conversion rate of 43% is second, and his .75 goals per shot is outstanding.  The problem is, he's only gotten off 7 shots in 531 minutes. That's less than a shot per appearance.  He's got to get more involved in the attack.  Pasher has 3 goals and 2 assists in 8 appearances (7 starts).  He's also the only guy on the squad that can effectively go past an opponent.  His success rate of 75% (15/20) is top 25 in the league, and only two players in MLS (Joe Gyau - FC Cincinatti 28/31; Andrew Brody - RSL - 17/24) with more than 20 attempts have a higher conversion rate than him.  The only gripe I have about Pasher (other than he's played in less than half the games so far) is that he completely disappears for stretches.  The Dynamo actually need to be running the attack through him down the wing as often as possible.  Pasher can play both sides, and the way he and Fafa switch sides throughout the game allows them to keep the defense honest and guessing.  Pasher has to insert himself more.

Memo Rodriguez

Think about this a second: Since the beginning of the 2020/2021 season, Memo Rodriguez is one of the least efficient goal scorers in the history of MLS.   His .086 goals per shot isn't just bad, it's historically awful.  He's taken the 22nd most shots in MLS (31), and his goals per shot (.06) ranks him 164th.  The problem isn't with his accuracy.  His 41.9 SOT% actually is pretty solid.  The problem Memo has is he either gets power or accuracy on the ball.  When he's on target, there's a lot of softballs directly to the keeper.  When he hits with power, it's never on target.  He had 2 great opportunities against San Jose, and failed to capitalize on either.  The aforementioned run off a great pass from Corona, and the time he got the ball in the slot off a low cross from Fafa.  The first was a soft, low shot directly to the keeper; the latter was a blast that was nowhere near a goalward trajectory.  I love to watch Memo play, I really do.  He has heart, he works hard, he's a good defender.  Memo just doesn't create goals, and he never has.  Memo doesn't score all that often, he doesn't create for others, and while he's getting better at being more direct he's just not a #10.  He's an #8 playing one though.  While I acknowledge that's not his fault, it's still ok to ask for better.

Final Thoughts:

There's plenty of other blame to go around.  I can (and will) spend the next two hours talking about how bad Darwin Quintero has been this year.  Quintero has been much better the last two games.  He's playing like he feels the pressure to make something happen every time he touches the ball, and he needs to be more composed.  The pass he had to Vera in the 83rd minute against San Jose on Saturday very well could have broken the game open.  Ariel Lassiter has provided virtually nothing to the attack with his minutes either.  Right now we are soo desperate to find something we are playing Lundkvist up top.  Joe Corona has a rare through ball here and there, but offers virtually nothing going forward either.  Remember, it's virtually impossible to make the playoffs averaging less than 1.3 goals/game.  We've got a way to go, and with Teenage/Parker in the back, it should allow the forwards to stay forward, and not have to desperately track back the whole game.  We need to open this offense up, and find some more goals.

Thanks again for reading,

#HoldItDown, and remember to stay #ForeverOrange,

Brian

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Total waste of a clean sheet: Dynamo 0:0 - Recap

 



Can I just start by saying how insane it makes me that almost every game we just start by banging the ball forty yards downfield to and giving it to the other team?  Can't we at least fake like we are trying to build an attack?  It's not just us, it's literally every game I watch in MLS.  It's just a total wasted chance at possession and it's a mindset that's gotta go.  

Tab tried something somewhat new.  He lined up in some sort of 5-3-2/4-1-4-1 - ish formation (honestly, this formation played soo weird nobody could really figure out what they were actually trying to do) that saw Fafa playing high on the right and Urruti staying more central.  They tried to balance this out by pushing Sam Junqua up on the left.  The Dynamo should have broken through in the 5th minute. A quick throw-in from Fafa found Derrick Jones right outside the 18.  Jones slipped inside the box with a nice touch and slipped a nice outside footer to Maxi Urruti about 12 yards out.  Maxi should have blasted it, but instead tried to take a touch to slip past two defenders and lost the ball and had it cleared for a corner.


Vancouver was sitting back in numbers, Tab was only sending three or four guys forward at the most.  Joe Corona and Mattias Vera almost never saw the ball and we were trying to build down the sideline for most of the first 20 minutes.  The defending was solid, with Zarek Valentine making several key plays inside the box.  But, at times, we would try to hit Fafa down the sideline and he would be the only person across midfield.  Fafa's not beating anyone 1 vs. 6.  We even lucked out and got a handball in a killer position, Urruti just bonked one off the post.  Most of the first half was relatively harmless.  There were moments here and there, but with the way both teams were dug in made chances few and far between.  There was a total of 7 shots (4 for Vancouver, 3 for the Dynamo) in the first half, 0 were on target. 

The second half wasn't much better, and as much as I hate to call this a snooze-fest, it was a snooze fest.  The game only saw 16 total shots the entire game, 1 on goal (the Dynamo), and the White Caps barely even broke the ball into the penalty box the entire game. The White Caps tried to come out strong, as Cristián Dájome fired a pass across the back of the Dynamo defense that found nothing other than the far touchline.  There were no attacking actions from either team, as both teams seemed content sitting behind the ball and playing for a 0-0 draw.  The one change wasn't a big one.  Tab heard our cries to not play Memo on the wing and ended up playing a weird system that saw Junqua, Lundkvist, and Corona all moving up there at times.  The result wasn't good, even though the defense was pretty solid.  

Vera Almost broke through early in the 50th minute, after a great pass and heads up dumby play by Urruti left Vera all streaking inside the 6-yard box.  Vera took a really bad first touch and the ball wound up being a corner.  This was the second time the Dynamo had great looks, and really bad touches lead to them being unable to even get a shot off. Urruti had a decent chance in the 54th minute after Lundkvist won a ball at midfield and hit Urruti on the run, but Urruti couldn't get the ball inside on his right foot and just blasted one into the second deck.  Lundkvist followed with a nice run down the left side and fired a nice low cross in behind The White Caps backline, but no one was really trying to get on the end of it.  A foul in the 55th minute allowed Vancouver almost the exact same chance at a free-kick as Urruti had earlier in the game, and Cristián Gutiérrez had the exact same goal post deny him.  

Tab tried to jumpstart the attack by throwing Memo and Darwin Quintero on the field for Derrick Jones and Adam Lundkvist at the 57th minute.  Tab has notoriously subbed late and not subbed at all at times this year.  It immediately saw Quintero find Memo with a nice look right outside the 6-yard box and Memo just flubbed it.  Darwin had another nice ball to Urruti (65th minute) after Junqua found him on a cross from the deep corner.  Darwin probably should have taken the shot, but wound up one-touching a ball that landed about 6" too far away from Maxi.  Quintero tried to find Maxi again at the 75-minute mark, only to hit it further than Maxi could run.  Darwin hasn't been great this year (that's an understatement) but at least he takes chances with the ball. They haven't paid off, and he's put the Dynamo in bad positions at times by giving the ball back to the other team in terrible spots, but at least he is trying to create going forward.  He was literally the only guy in the midfield that gave it a go on Tuesday night.  Eddie Robinson said he thought it had to do with lack of playing time, and not knowing the movements of Fafa, Maxi and Memo....and there's probably some truth to that, but we are over a 1/3rd of the way through the season.  I feel like he's pressing....just trying to make something happen every time he touches the ball.  Sometimes he just needs to make the simplest play that's available.  He's a vet, he needs to figure it out.  I still like him in an Attacking Midfielder role more than I like anyone else on the team, and hopefully, with Hadebe behind him there is incentive towards attacking play, but we'll see.  

This game was best summed up in the 87th minute when Glenn Davis asked "Do you feel one team wants to win this more than the other?"  Eddie Robinson's reply was simple and perfect: "No". Not only was there a total lack of urgency from both teams, but there was also a lack of any kind of execution from both.  It was lazy attacking soccer.  Hit the ball down the wing, lob a cross that has no chance of connecting, hope for a corner.  That was it.  The final score described the game perfectly.  I'm sure there have been exciting 0-0 draws in the world of soccer, but this was one of the 99%.  The Dynamo did what they do best over the last two years.....tie.....and made Matthew Doyle right again



It's scary how reliant this team is on Tyler Pasher.  Pasher actually gives us a chance every time he steps on the field and without him, it seems like we have nobody capable of creating shots.  We need another creative player, and hopefully one that can create behind Urruti, not one at the expense of our wings.  We need a backup wing capable of doing......uhhhh......anything. WIth Pasher and Lassiter out for the next couple of weeks in Gold Cup action, maybe it's time to see Bajamich make his first start of the year.....it seriously can't be worse.  Maybe it's time to move Junqua up and play him on the wing with Lundkvist behind him.  It seriously can't be worse.

Teenage Hadebe's Debut:


Teenage was solid, but not spectacular in his debut.  There was nothing flashy or eye-popping, but he was always right where he needed to be.  When your CB has a night where you don't really notice him, that's normally a good thing.  It's an encouraging performance actually, given the play we've had a CB opposite Tim Parker all year.  His stat line was pretty basic; 5 interceptions, 6 clearances, 3/3 on areal duels won, 7/14 on deep balls played.  Hadebe is long and rangy but also has really good footwork and technique. He kept guys in front of him and never got beat deep. I'm really excited to see what these two do back there this year.

The regression of the Dynamo Attack:

While most people are in agreement that the Dynamo defense has been much improved this year, Tab's attack isn't generating anywhere near the shots or attacking play it did last year.  Shots/90 have dropped by almost four shots per game (10.79 in 2021 vs 14.09 in 2020), they have dropped from fifth highest xG in MLS to fourth worst. Shots on Target/90 has gone from fourth-best (4.91 in 2020) to fifth-worst (3.36).  It's hard for me to put my finger on the exact cause as to why.  The attacking players (in my opinion) are much better than what was on the pitch at BBVA last year (after Elis left).  It's not translating into goals, and it's not even translating into opportunities.  Tab has to find a way to generate chances.  Of our midfielders, three of them are awful at creating shots.  Mattias Vera (2.03), Joe Corona (1.92) and Derrick Jones (0.92) combined create less Shot Creating Actions/90 than Darwin Quintero alone (5.14).  Memo Rodriguez is basically at the same level as last year (3.52 in 2021, 3.44 in 2020), and Tyler pasher has been solid but not spectacular (3.22).  This team has to find a way to create in a larger variety of ways other than lob it deep to Fafa Picault and hope for the best.  Playing passes that break lines to Urruti in the middle of the field is one way, but Urruti is spending soo much time tracking back and defending lately that option isn't available.  It's time for Tab and the staff to put pen to paper and figure out a better way.  The addition of Hadebe will hopefully require less of our forwards tracking back, and more of them playing....well...forward.

Next Up:

San Jose @ San Jose - Saturday, July 24th @ 9:00.

Thanks again for reading
#HoldItDown and say #ForeverOrange

Brian