Sunday, March 26, 2023

Brought the Nasty: Houston 1:0 NYCFC

 

A night of contrast for the Houston Dynamo: beautiful stadium on a beautiful night with a team that managed to play stretches of beautiful soccer, but bring home an ugly 1:0 win.  On a night with no Coco Carrasquilla, no Ivan Franco, and against one of the stingiest defenses in MLS, the Dynamo managed the only chance that mattered and kept their second straight clean sheet at home.  Bringing the Nasty is rounding into form, as Ben Olsen has found a defensive unit and shape that is working at home

There are lots of things to celebrate from this game, as well as some major causes of concern. Let's take a look at the good, the bad, and the ugly of this game.

The Good:

Brooklyn Raines makes his first MLS start.

Brooklyn Raines is the first teenager to ever start a game for the Houston Dynamo in an MLS match.  In a much-anticipated appearance, Raines had a mostly quiet first half.  Highlighted by his miss on the one good chance the Dynamo had created during the half that really stung, Raines otherwise was mostly unnoticeable during the first 45.  He came to life in the second.  Had a really nice move and a crafty pass through defenders on the buildup that led to the Pen.  Drew a couple of key fouls, and despite only having 27 touches found ways to impact the game.  Brooklyn just mistimed a couple of runs, and his teammates had a little trouble finding him on some of those deep balls. Most importantly didn't do anything that cost the team the win.  Raines took over Coco's duty of applying high pressure and making runs between the left CB and LB.  High energy, was active, impacted winning.  Overall a solid 74 minutes, hopefully he starts to get a few more shifts as the season progresses.

Artur

Artur is the backbone of what has been a dominating midfield.  The midfield trident has been extremely good in 3/4 games so far this year (Cinci, Austin, NYCFC) and Artur has ben the rock at the back end of it.  Defensively he was outstanding last night.  While the tackle and interception numbers aren't staggering (1 tackle, 2 interceptions), he was always in the right spot and gobbled up 11 loose balls in the midfield.  Artur was also instrumental on applying pressure to Keaton Parks and Alfredo Morales, virtually taking them out of the game.  Artur has also been creeping further upfield in possession and looking to make plays.  Took a big left-footed blast right before Corey Baird hit the cross bar, and who can forget his nutmeg/run against Austin F.C. Owning the midfield was key to this matchup, and none was more active or more important than Artur.

The Defensive Back 3 of Teenage, Bartlow, and Steres

It's an unconventional way to get to a 3 in the back lineup, but that's essentially what it is.  4-4-2 in defense, but 3 CB's staying home and protecting when we go forward.  While Steres began to venture forward at spots, having these three set the back line allowed Tate Schmitt to get down the wing and wreak havoc.  The three weren't called on to do a lot, but were always there when they needed to be.  Largely responsible for holding NYCFC to five shots (1 on target) for the entire game.  NYCFC went over 30 minutes without a single shot of any kind (from the 57th minute - 91st minute).  Add to that the fact that NYCFC only had 5 touches inside the box for the first 90 minutes of the game.  While Steve Clark will get credit for his 52nd Career Clean Sheet, the bulk of the work went to the midfield and these guys in the back.

Honorable Mention:

Ben Olsen's defensive game planning, Amine Bassi, HH being HH, and, it sounds weird since we lost the possession numbers, but the possession game was there when we needed it.

The Bad

Corey Baird

Baird did some really good things defensively.  His pressure on the Center Backs combined with the midfield activity of Raines, HH, and Artur really disrupted NYCFC's attack.  However, going forward Baird poses almost no threat of helping the Dynamo score. When he makes a run AND is onside, his decision-making has been extremely poor.  Had a chance to bury NYCFC and make it 2-0 but missed a poacher's goal and hit the woodwork, his only shot of the game.  He's not getting chances, he's not creating chances, he's not really even taking guys on.  He did draw 4 fouls, but other than that his stats were very meager.  45 touches, 8 possessions lost, 0 key passes, 0 shots on target, 1 offsides, 0/1 in taking guys on.  For four straight games here the striker position has been virtually nonexistent in the attack.

The Attack

There was some really pretty combination play, and some quality plays from the midfield, but the Dynamo managed only 2 shots on target the entire game, and one was off a deflection on the back post.  The top three of Baird, Bassi and Quinones didn't combined for 1 shot, 1 key pass, and 2 passes completed into the penalty area.  Without Franco and Carrasquilla the attack lost a lot of punch and creative flair.  The top three have yet to create a goal in the run of play on the season.  

The Ugly

Steve Clark's one major gaffe

Luckily it didn't cost the Dynamo a goal, but right after Amine Bassi's pen Clark almost gave them one back.

Final Thoughts:

These are games the Dynamo usually don't win.  You can take both wins with a grain of salt (beating Austin F.C. on a short week and NYCFC after traveling across the country) but to post two straight clean sheets at home AND winning both hasn't been done in ten years.  This is a good stretch, and the Dynamo have a real chance to make it three in a row traveling to San Jose Earthquakes next weekend. Also, getting to listen to Glenn Davis on the call through Apple TV's new "Hometown Radio" feature was a game changer for me.  I now love this ap entirely.

Next Up:


Until then.....

Thanks again for reading.
Remember to always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange

Brian



Monday, March 20, 2023

Houston Dynamo 2:0 Austin F.C. - All Around Team Effort

 

It seemed like forever.  The eternity that existed between losing to the Revs and their first home game of the season against Green Tree F.C. had all of the #ForeverOrange faithful in desperation mode.  We got to see the fresh new Shell Energy Stadium with all its updates and some fresh tactics by Head Coach Ben Olsen.  In an up-and-down performance for much of the game, the Dynamo managed to do two things we haven't seen in some time: (1) keep a clean sheet at home. (2) Take control of the game and not relinquish the lead.  While there are some differing opinions over which new food vendor was the best, if the East Side Club was cool or not, and whether this was a boring game or not, one thing we can all agree on is that it feels good to win, especially against Austin F.C.

The First 45 minutes:

The starting lineup saw a couple of notable changes.  Daniel Steres at RB, Amine Bassi at LW, Ivan Franco at RW, and Corey Baird got the start at the #9. Defending with 2 lines of four, Olsen mostly had Coco playing up top next to Corey Baird.  The plan to start the game was simple, sit deep, pack the box defensively, and ping it deep to stretch Austin F.C.'s backline.  Early runs by Baird, Coco, and Ivan Franco paid dividends on the back end of some beautiful deep balls by Teenage Hadebe and Hector Herrera.  Even though the ends of these runs and passes were normally sloppy and disjointed, you could see #Verde's backline creeping further and further back with each change of possession.   With Bassi tucking inside behind Baird with Tate Schmitt running the left flank, Coco was making darting runs between Leo Väisänen and Žan Kolmanič opening up the right flank for Ivan Franco.  You could see the gaps widening in the midfield as the game progressed.  Bassi began filling these gaps from the left flank, and taking much of the space that Coco normally fills.   Dropping deep to defend, Bassi was helping progress the ball down the middle third as well as making runs to stretch the left flank. He found his way through first, although his left foot cross went seriously wayward.

While they were defending with two stacked lines of 4, going forward Daniel Steres never left going forward.  He stayed back to protect the left flank from Diego Fagundez on the counter and in transition. With Steres staying home and HH, and Artur paying heavy attention to Driussi, they were able to hold the two to 1 shot total over the first 45 minutes of play. While the Dynamo had shut down Austin's top two attackers, they were being exposed on the other side. John Gallager and Emeliano Rigioni were dominating the run of play, combining for more shots than the entire Houston squad.  Rigioni nearly broke the game open twice, and Maxi Urruti should have had the games opening goal.  Off a nice cross by Sebastian Driussi that was badly misplayed by Tate Schmitt, John Gallager managed to flick one back toward the goal that found Urruti's head right in front of the goal.  Luckily for the Dynamo, Urruti couldn't get it down, but it was a point-blank chance that should have made it 1-0.  While Austin controlled the run of play over the first 35 minutes, Houston began to find cracks over the next 10.  They ended the half with the last 4 shots.  

The next 45:

Houston came out firing.  Hector Herrera's stop-start-right-footed blast off the end line (47th minute), Ivan Franco's flying overhead off a deflection, and Coco's outside-the-box blast all ended up directly at keeper Brad Stuver, but Houston was beginning to find their way through.  Houston completely controlled the first 25 minutes of the second half.  The turning point came midway through the second half right after Adam Lundkvist checked in.  Ethan Bartlow's header gave Lundkvist no time to react and caught in an unnatural position the ball struck right off of his waiting hand.  Although the entire refereeing crew initially missed it, after review Drew Fisher pointed to the spot.  Amine Bassi put it home to put the Dynamo up 1:0. 
15 minutes later, Hector Herrera made it 2:0 by punching a left-footed punch that beat Stuver to the near post.  It was a crafty goal that just saw HH outsmart and out work the Austin backline.

While Austin tried to pull one goal back over the next 4 minutes but Houston was able to hold on.  The win was much-needed and nudged Houston above the playoff line.  

Notables:

While I could mention basically the entire team, and don't mean to leave anyone off, we'll look at a few of the highlights.

Hector Herrera: 

HH was tremendous from opening to close.  In the first 30 minutes, he was pinging bombs on the money to Coco, Franco, and Baird on the run.  From the opening of the second half, he began to work into the box and wreak havoc. On the night he had 91 touches, 60 completed passes, 2 key passes, 5 shots, and 1 very big goal.  He was touching the ball all over the field, hitting passes at all levels, and working on both sides of the ball.  Had one terrible turnover when he tried to spin his way out of a challenge, but luckily Teenage had his back.  He had several dangerous corners, and his blasted free kick (42nd minute) almost beat Brad Stuver.  It was a continuation of what we saw vs. Cincinnati, although a little more progressive.  Great bounceback game after a rougher outing vs. New England.

The Backline:

The backline of Steres, Bartlow, Hadebe and Schmitt were tremendous all night.  A few cracks opened up on the right side, but each time Steve Clark was right where he needed to be.  Not only did they make every defensive play they needed to, they also made several key plays going forward.  Bottling up Fagundez and Driussi is no easy task, and the two managed 0 shots on Target for the entire game, and only managed 66 touches for the game.  

Steve Clark

Steve Clark was on point for 90 minutes.  Although he wasn't spectacular he didn't need to be.  Shook off a nock on the knee in the early minutes of the game to post a clean sheet.  Although it was a team effort, Clark was where he needed to be when he needed to be.  Solid performance in this game.

THIS:


Next Up:


Thanks again for reading,
Remember to always always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange.

Brian







Sunday, March 12, 2023

Dynamo Fans are already losing their minds, let's take this week off and refocus.

 

I'm not gonna lie, I'm grumpy.  I'm grumpy because we're 0-2, we lost a game against Cincinnati we should have earned a point from, I'm grumpy that we got embarrassed the next week, I'm grumpy because there's no game this week, we're playing Verde next, and because Dynamo fans are now complaining about...well....everything.  We've become Brick from Anchor Man, simply mad and shouting because we don't know how to handle all this.  I've read a lot of things the last week, and I'm going to try to go back and address some of them in a logical manner. I'm also going to address some things I'm sick of already, and use this as a bit of a therapy session for myself.

First of all:

I'm sick of hearing about "Inverted Wingers"

I get it. I understand the concept. I see other teams using it successfully. What we're missing here is that those teams have a lot of talent.   I see our team constantly look like we don't have a plan going forward, displaying dudes who can't finish (or pass) running into each other's space.  I see overlapping backs who either can't make plays with the ball at their feet or get back and defend (or both).  I see our back post constantly being exposed while our FB is trying to get back and cover it only to be 5 steps too slow. I see our CB's being put in bad positions a ton, and I also see most of our possession coming from passing it between our CB's for large sections of time.  I've seen us change coaches, players, and literally everything else, but yet I still see this garbage.  I honestly don't care what formation we run, I don't care if we want to be a possession team, a counterattacking team, or the boringest defensive team you've ever seen.  What I can't literally care about anymore is this concept: inverted wingers are the plan going forward.  If that's the key to unlocking our attack, go get Mo Salah/Darwin Nunes types.  If we are going to start Corey Baird or Thor there, find a different way.

"We can get anyone to do what Coco and HH can do for way less money"

Great, we just gutted our payroll and are back to being the lowest-paid team in the league again.  The same fans crying about this are the same ones that wanted the last ownership group out for failing to invest.  I could go around the world and talk about the cost of a good 8 in a 4-3-3.  Spoiler alert: they cost a bunch of money and don't put up a lot of key stats (Luca Modric).  Doesn't make them any less important, doesn't make them any less valuable. It's just their job.  I understand that MLS has, in the pass, had a cost associated with goals and assists.  That's changing.  CB's are starting to earn real money, and with Roman Burki goal keepers are too.  I literally don't care about how the Dynamo did things in 2006-2008, because THAT VERSION OF THE LEAGUE IS DEAD.  There were no DP's,  guaranteed contacts,  U-22 initiatives, or many other roster designations we have now back then.  The league is changing.  

Secondly, we have 3 DP spots.  Do we need more out of Sebas?  Sure.  Do we need more out of Teenage? Yup.  But you know who we really need....I don't know....anything out of?  Our Goal Keeper, RW, RB, LB and Ivan Franco.  Can we still buy down Teenage and get a legit third DP?  Yup, probably this summer.  Why does it take until summer?  Because that's when the biggest and best leagues in the world go on break. HH and Coco are our two most important players and have more asked of them than anyone on the field. It's the style and system we play. We need two pretty good players there, and we have those.  We need better players around them.  We hit HH because he's the highest paid player this team has ever had, and a top 10 highest-paid in the league.  I'm sick of the money portion of the conversation when it comes to HH because it gives some of us unreasonable expectations of him.  He's not a guy that's going to get you 20 goal contributions a year.  That's not who he is, that's not even what his position demands. HH's job is to control the game and get it to guys who make plays.  No, you can't find a guy just as good as him for $150-$600k.  Joao Paulo is the closest comparison, he's a DP too.  If they take a DP slot, it literally doesn't matter how much money they make because it all costs the same against the cap.  Some of us saw the figures that HH and Coco were bringing in, and set unreachable expectations.  I also think there's some jealousy there and (this is not my opinion, just calling people out) anti-Mexico sentiment. There are people that simply think he was brought here as an advertisement and nothing more.  I think every star is brought in as an advertisement, but if you listen to what Pat, Asher, and Ted have been saying, HH was brought in to transform the locker room and the mentality as well.  If he can get that done, I don't care what they paid him.

This is just the same ol' Dynamo:

No, this is a different version of the Dynamo......They're just (currently) still terrible though. I'll tell you one thing that's the same: the team loves to create chances they can't finish.  Last year's Goal Efficiency: (Goals Scored - XG): -1.3 (8th worst).  Through the first two games this year: -1.3 (4th worst in the league).  In 2020: -11.6 (5th worst in the league).  Sebas has actually helped that, because he's a solid finisher.  Despite not scoring a single goal from open play in 2 games this year, they're mid-pack in xG (13th).  The Dynamo are 5th in the league in shots/90, but have yet to score a goal from open play in 180 minutes. Tate Schmitt, our backup LB who is starting while Brad Smith rehabs a knee injury, has as many shots (4) as our two strikers combined (Sebas - 2, Thor 2) and more shots on target (3/1). There is a disconnect between this team and it's strikers, and a lack of creativity inside the box and final third.  

"I'm sick of watching players leave and immediately get better":

There's maybe 1 guy you could make that case for.  No, Fafa hasn't gotten better.  I've watched every Nashville game and he's the same Fafa that played here (which was the same Fafa from Dallas and Philly by the way). He runs, he draws fouls, he had an assist, he did all of those things here too. He also still gets the ball taken from him inside the box.  Mattias Vera has yet to see the field for Argentinos Junior, Darwin Quintero has been pretty decent for America (2 goals, 4 assists in 6 games), Memo has had two very Memo games for LAG (and has 0 goals and 0 assists), and Lundy's barely made it off the bench for Austin.  Sam Junqua had 2 uneventful minutes for Frisco. They haven't gotten better, they just play for better teams.  

Tim Parker has actually played really well, a lot of that has to do with him being in a system with a good level of protection around him. He's got two really good defensive midfielders in front of him, and their two full-backs have been there covering his back.  He's also got really good chemistry so far with his partner Kyle Heibert.  St. Louis is a really good fit for him.  I liked all these guys and wish them well, but we also cant pretend like they are just beating the pants off MLS out there.

I'm actually sick of watching all these new teams win:

We all are.  HEY PAT!  HEY ASHER! Can we get a good team too?  MLS is like....handing them out like Halloween Candy.  Can we jump in on that?  Can we get a TAM starter pack, an extra international slot (because some idiot permanently traded one of ours away), and some really exciting young players?  

If the Dynamo don't make the playoffs, Pat Onstad needs to go:

He'll probably get fired.  They all have come out and said the goal is to make the playoffs.  They haven't exactly said it's Playoffs or bust,  but I think they're feeling the pressure.  My only problem with all of this is that I don't think I've ever seen a fanbase so ready to just fire every coach and GM that steps foot in Houston before they've even played a game.  I'm not saying give it time, but it's going to take time, no matter how impatient we are.

Other Notes:

I'm extremely jealous of the atmosphere in these new clubs:

St. Louis, Nashville, Charlotte, Austin, Atlanta, LAFC, and Cinci have built great atmospheres and fan bases.  It's honestly what soccer SHOULD be about.  In game atmosphere during games is what sets it apart from every other sport on the planet.  I'm hoping that we can rebuild this in Houston.  I never got to experience the Robertson Days, but it would be great to stand there singing and cheering with all of you.  I'd love to hear 20,000 strong singing 3 little birds more than just 15 minutes before kickoff.  We should sing it after every time the other team scores.  There's a million things I'd love to see done, but more than anything I just want to see a packed Shell Energy with rowdy and fun fans.

One thing we agree on:

If you're reading this, you love the Dynamo.  We also all hate Austin.  We need a win, let's show up, bring some friends, and get behind our guys.  They for sure need us. Let's show up, show out, and #BringTheNasty

Thanks again for reading:
Remember to always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange,
Brian

Monday, March 6, 2023

Houston Dynamo vs. N.E. Revolution: Time for Massive Overreaction.

 




All offseason I tried to temper it.  I tried to tell myself that despite all the moves, the talent influx that we were looking for just wasn't there.  But with every move,  every player added, and every new department or front office position created it started to grow: Hope.  There wasn't a lot, just a flicker.  It wasn't even hope that we'd be one of the best teams in the conference, just hope that we'd be better.  Match Day 1 against Cincinnati actually helped build that hope, as though even though we failed on the scoreline we were clearly the better team for long periods of that game.  Saturday was the type of game that crushed every bit of hope that had been seeded its way into my psyche in a mere flash.  When Dylan Borreo raced in to track down a low cross and sneak one past Steve Clark 40 minutes into the game, it not only felt like the game was over, it felt like the entire season was over.  The game had been fairly uneventful at that point, but the Dynamo had a couple of decent chances that they put right on the keeper.  "Oh.....Come.....ON!!!!" Could probably be heard three blocks away as I pounded my fist into my poor little Ikea coffee table that has taken too much punishment over Dynamo games, PS5 renditions of FIFA and War Thunder, and is much more durable than my belief in my beloved club at this point.  It took me a good day to think about what I wanted to write because at first reaction it was all hellfire and brimstone.  This post will be full of answering some of my own overreactions but also setting appropriate expectations.

It's time to set our sights higher:

When Ted Segal came in, my biggest hope wasn't in fancy stadium renovations, brand changes, or anything like that.  My hope was that we would have an MLS Organization that was the best in the league.  This team had no real scouting department, they had no fancy analytics department, their youth development was trash, and so was the product on the field.   You could see just from their MLS Super Draft picks over the last decade that they had no idea what they were doing, and from the vast majority of whiffs they had on foreign transfers (especially the cheap ones).  This offseason Ted Segal attempted to fix all of that, and with that should come real expectations.  Pat Onstad and Asher Mendelsohn have every tool and resource available to their disposal.  Now it's time to put it together.  No more swapping mediocre players for other mediocre players.  No more having a team of mismatched parts that don't fit. It's time to do the things that make great MLS teams.  Go get stars, go find a few gems, and develop a few of your own.  At each position find guys that will outwork their man.  Build a tuff, gritty, blue collar team that fights for 90 minutes and represents our city and our fanbase.  The tools are at your disposal, it's time for you to prove if you can use them.

This is the same ol' Dynamo:

It is, but it isn't.  Despite all the work this offseason, this team still has gaping holes.  The back line isn't good enough.  While it's probable that Ethan Bartlow will grow into a solid MLS defender, right now he still has work to do.  It was his mark that  back heeled it to wide open space after he allowed a free run to the near post on the first goal Saturday.  On goal #2 he was stuck in limbo as a low cross went right in front of him to a streaking Bobby Wood.  Hadebe is getting beat far too often, and our backs are still attrocious at defending.  Our midfield can control the game, but we can't get them the ball, and they have no one to play it to.  Ivan Franco has been good but has yet to make a scoring impact, Tate Schmitt has shown some good things going forward but struggles in defense, and Corey Baird has mostly been a ghost through 136 minutes. Neither of our strikers has seen much space or the ball, which is a testament to both their play and their teammates.  Right now our best offense is getting the ball to Coco or HH and have them break three lines with the ball at their feet. Steve Clark has been terrible, and with a save percentage of 44% you have to wonder if he can do this job anymore.  He didn't even attempt at the third goal on Saturday, and hasn't been able to stop shots effectively this year at all.  The even worse news on that front is that Andrew Tarbell has historically been a below average MLS keeper (to put it nicely). We knew that going in, and when we are prayerful that we did enough to possibly sneak in to the 9th spot that tells you that we didn't really do a lot.  Ivan Franco has looked good.  He's aggressive, has good skill, and isn't afraid to take people on.  Tate Schmitt has looked good coming up the left wing, but the right side of the attack has been non-existant.  

What's exceptionally frustrating to me is this isn't an inexperienced Head Coach that we are working through this with.  Ben Olsen should have answers.  He's the most experienced Coach the Dynamo have ever hired (he's got 28 games on Owen Coyle coming in).  He should have answers.  We were completely exposed against New England, and the game plan wasn't that complicated.  Flood the midfield, hit us deep down the wings, fire a low cross across the box.  They beat us on it three times, and we had no answer for them going forward.  Ben not only found a way to cover this tactical weakness, he made no adjustments to get the ball to his goal scorers for two weeks.  We have yet to score a goal from open play, and in both games our Strikers got shut down.  I also don't understand why you already bring Sebas off the bench.  It seems to me like early in the year with a team trying to gel you sit your best goal scorer to start the game.  

This isn't about a "team needing to gel", it's just not good enough.

Good teams produce.  While I wholeheartedly agree that it will take time for Franco, Bassi, Thor, and Sebas to click (I don't add Baird, because I don't consider him offensively relevant), producers produce.  One of them should have lucked their way into a goal by now.  Franco has had chances, but has been unable to finish off a play.  Our strikers are absent, and it's almost as if we are playing with ten at this point.  Even if they gel, is it going to be a playoff caliber team?  I'm still doubtful.  Maybe that's the cynic in me, but I just don't see it.

We aren't even building for the future:

While Coco and HH are our best two players, Juan Castilla and Brooklyn Raines need to play.  They should be getting sub minutes at a minimum and rotational minutes on occasion. The fact that the two have combined for 1 minute played on the season is ridiculous.   We've seen Corey Baird, he's not going to help us win.  Amine Bassi and Nelson Quinones need to be playing minutes there.  Bartlow and Dorsey are younger type players, and both are being given an opportunity, but both need to be better.  I'd actually like to see Micael in the near future.  This is a team that's not good enough, not building, just stuck in mediocre limbo.  At least we have HD2 season around the corner. 

This game is forcing overreaction:

It was because of HOW BAD this game was.  It was sloppy, it was disorganized, and it just looked bad.  We can make excuses about it: it was cold, New England is good, Bruce Arena is a legend.  But at the end of the day the scoreline makes this game look closer than it actually was.  My buddy Wade has a good handle on it:

Next Up:




Until then,
Thanks again for reading.
Remember to always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange

Brian



Sunday, February 26, 2023

Somethings old, somethings new: FC Cincinnati 2:1 Houston Dynamo

 

First Off

Nobody can deny that the presentation of MLS on AppleTV is gorgeous.  Besides the fact that for much of the first half it looked like we were wearing tiger stripes on my TV, the game was stunning.  All the content around the games is what this league has needed for decades, and I'm very glad AppleTV has made this happen. Being unable to hear Glenn Davis and Eddie Robinson call the game made my soul hurt, however.  This was one change I didn't want and don't like.  No disrespect to Calen Carr intended, he did a great job.  But Glenn is the voice of the Dynamo to me and always will be.

Enough about that....


Many of us have been eagerly anticipating the opening of the 2023 MLS Season.  This offseason was a season of change for Houston Dynamo F.C.  New Coach, new players, they changed up the front office, they changed up the stadium name.....they even changed up the seats!  They even (if you were paying attention) changed the club motto.  It's not #HoldItDown anymore.  I mean, with what we've seen in the past, we didn't really wanna hold that down anymore anyway.  Slightly, subtly, and probably accidentally, Ben Olsen changed the creed to weave a new mindset among players and fanatics.  #BringTheNasty has been our rallying cry leading up to this game, and will most likely be what we are yelling for every single night for the next 33 Match Days.  On a night that saw some things that looked all too familiar (inability to get Sebas involved, getting trapped in their own half for stretches, bad giveaways in bad spots), and some things that looked new (set pieces!) the game was a mixture of hope and despair that only #ForeverOrange faithful can understand.  The logical side of me says that FC Cincinatti scored two really difficult goals to beat us.  That their a playoff caliber team at home on the opening day of the season.  The #ForeverOrange fan in me says that this team is going to take that losing tradition of most of the last decade and #HoldItDown. Let's take a look at The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly from Match Day 1.


The Good:

Hector Herrera:

Hector played the full 90 minutes and led the Dynamo in....well...virtually everything. 112 touches, 74 passes completed, 13 passes completed into the final third, 12 Crosses into the box, 5 tackles+Int, he was dangerous on set pieces all night, and was all over the midfield.  HH was his usual self going forward: calm on the ball and pinging it all over the place.  He nearly found Ivan Franco on a low cross to level the score (34:50) and had several other dangerous passes into the box.  Placed a stunningly accurate ball on the corner that led to Schmitt's goal.  Defensively he was aggressive and active.  Hector was the highest rated player on the field by virtually every publication.  Was a solid start to the year by him.

The final 65 minutes:

The Dynamo dominated every statistical category over the final 65 minutes.  Even though they played to an even score, that had multiple chances to take a game against a very good opponent on the road. Possession: 65%-35%; Shots: 18-10, Corners won: 7-0; Key Passes: 11-4; Ground Challenges:57%-51%;  Passing Rate: 79%-68%.  While goals decide the outcomes of games, the stats back up what our eyes told us.  The Dynamo were more than equal to the task over much of the game. Although they could never get the second goal, they never stopped chasing it and had many opportunities they just couldn't bring home.   Sebastian Ferriera's only shot of the game (38th minute) was a point-blank left-footed volley that he just couldn't get on top of.  Coco had two tremendous chances, one he also got underneath, and another which took a really nice save by Roman Celentano to stop.  Thor had his first shot of the year come about a nanosecond after he checked in the game. A wide-open back post blast off a set piece just found the foot of an FCC defender and ended up with another corner. Ethan Bartlow had an absolute laser (85th minute) that was saved by Celentano. The Dynamo created tons of chances down the stretch, but as we've come accustomed to seeing, just couldn't find the back of the net.  

Set Piece/Corners

The Dynamo not only had plenty of them, but they also looked dangerous on them.  If anyone out there wonders why we needed HH at all, just watch our set pieces.  Not only is his ball placement and touch top-notch on corners, but his accuracy toward goal on spot kicks is tremendous.  The Dynamo have been abysmal on both of these for years, but yesterday they were much improved both in execution and tactics.

The Bad:

The opening 25 minutes:

The first 25 minutes of the game were rough.  Ben Olsen's crew didn't create a single chance, they were outplayed in virtually every area of the field, and couldn't get the ball across midfield for much of the time.  Due to Cincinnati sitting in a high block, the only available options for much of this time were either Artur (who played it back) or to try to bang a pass downfield to Sebas, Baird, or Franco (which was normally intercepted).  The few times they did break through the attack was too narrow, and nothing came out of it.  Cincinnati was by far the most dangerous team in the first 25 minutes.  Not only did Santos break open the scoring, 25 seconds later Brendan Vasquez almost go another one.  Santiago Arias had a really dangerous run behind not much later.  It wasn't until Coco finally broke through and got a left-footed shot on goal that the Dynamo finally began to figure things out.

Corey Baird:

Baird played 71 minutes and managed to do.......basically nothing.  He was 0/5 on challenges, 0/3 taking defenders on, 0 key passes, 0 Shot Creating Actions, 0 dangerous runs, 0 shots.  Baird had 33 touches on the game, lost 10 of them, and really only managed 1 cross that went directly to Matt Miazga's head.  That cross also happened in the first 10 minutes of the game.  Baird also managed to do nothing defensively, with 0 tackles, 0 interceptions, and the only challenge he went into was a sliding whiff that led to Álvaro Barreal chugging all alone down the left flank. Baird opened the second half with a tremendous chase down of a ball in behind (52:36), but instead of taking his man on decided to make an outside foot pass.....directly to his mark who had dropped off him.  After an encouraging end to last year, he had a very disappointing start to this one.


The inability to get Sebas involved.

35 touches, 2 in the box, 1 really dangerous shot that was blasted high.  That was the night for Sebas.  While the back 5 of Cinci did a good job bottling him up and taking his space away, the no one on the pitch could help him create any space either.  Just to put this in perspective, Ethan Bartlow (2) & Tate Schmitt (4) (two defenders) had more touches inside the attacking penalty area than Sebas did, and so did Thor (3) who only 13 minutes.  Granted, Ivan Franco took advantage of the attention that Sebas was drawing and took a team high 5 shots, but for much of the game Sebas was playing 1v3 with the Cinci backline. 


The Ugly:

The Give Aways.

The Dyanamo had some completely terrible mistakes in the passing game.  Franco Escobar had a terrible pass to Artur directly after Sergio Santos opened the scoring (19:53) that led to a Brandon Vasquez interception and a direct shot that went just wide and to the left.  

Teenage Hadebe (69th minute) had a pass that was picked off by Luciano Acosta which led to a flurry of shots directly in front of goal that the Dynamo back line somehow kept out.  While it was a giveaway, Hadebe put enough on the ball to complete it but Tate Schmitt didn't work back to the ball.  Acosta jumped it and found his way into the box only to have Clark settle it down.  The ball pinballed around for a bit before Barreal found the ball and put a shot directly to Clark. Ethan Bartlow had a lazy pass intercepted by Brandon Vansquez (74th minute) that also led directly to a shot.


It's very fortunate that none of these three led to a goal.  As much as we see that this game could have gone either way, it could have very easily been 4 or 5 to 1 as well. 

Finishing:

It's been the Dynamo's Achilles heel for years.  20 shots, 8 on target, 1 goal.  While Celentano had a good game (saved 7/8 shots), you've got to put more of these on target and more of these past the keeper.  

Final Thoughts:

While I'm not pressing the panic button just yet, there are some concerns.  The backline and midfield really struggled against the press at times, and for long stretches at that.  When they did get the ball to Coco or HH, they looked really dangerous going forward.  There were too many sloppy and lazy turnovers that led to really dangerous things going the other way.  It's hard to really tell how organized they were defensively because some of those turnovers came in areas where they had to scramble hard to recover.  Offensively we saw some of the same issues that have plagued this franchise for years: poor turnovers vs. the press, lack of creativity in the final third, and lack of clinical finishing. I know this is a work in progress and Match Day 1, but there's a corner of my brain that thinks that this team will be just a different version of what we've seen the last 2 years.  That being said, they fought to the final whistle and played with aggression and desperation from whistle to whistle.  

Next Up:


Hopefully Chris Penso doesn't ref this one........

Thank you soo much for reading. Until next time, remember to always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange,
Brian

Sunday, January 29, 2023

Houston Dynamo FC - 2023 Season Preview - It's time, for real.

 

Major League Soccer Season Preview (2022/2023) – Houston Dynamo



Basics: 


Full Name: Houston Dynamo F.C.
Nicknames: Orange Crush, El Naranja (The Orange)
Founded: December 15, 2005
Majority Owner: Ted Segal
General Manager: Pat Onstad
Stadium – Shell Energy Stadium 


Year Built: 2012
Capacity: 22,039
Attendance: 279,240 (16,426 per match; 21st in MLS) 
Trophies: MLS Cup - 2006,2007 MLS Cup (Runners Up) - 2011, 2012; U.S. Open Cup - 2018, North American Super-Liga (Runners Up) - 2008

Kits: 









Coach: Ben Olson

MLS Position: 13th in Western Conference (25th Overall)

U.S. Open Cup Result: Lost to Sporting K.C. 2-1 in the round of 16

Playoff Result: Did not qualify.

CONCACAF Champions League Result: Did not qualify.

Additions: Artur, Franco Escobar, Andrew Tarbell, Charles Auguste, Ifunanyachi Achara, Frantz Pierrot, Ivan Franco. Amine Bassi, Brad Smith, Tate Schmitt, Djevencio van der Kust
Losses: Tim Parker, Adam Lundqvist, Fafa Picault, Memo Rodriguez, Zeca, Zarek Valentin, Marcelo Palomino, Darwin Quintero, Darwin Ceren, Matias Vera, Sam Junqua, Thiaguinho
End of Loan: Joe Corona, Mateo Bajamich, Ian Hoffman

Before We Get Started:

Two bombs have hit Dynamo Media coverage this winter. First and foremost, I want to say thank you to the guys over at Dynamo Theory.  It's a harsh choice for SB Nation to drop their MLS coverage, an injustice to you guys, and a travesty to your fans.  You guys were part of my post-game routine, and I can't imagine you guys not being part of my Dynamo fandom.  Hopefully, you all find a way to renew and adjust, I know you have a ton of fans pulling for you.  Secondly, MLS to Apple TV will not have Glenn Davis on the broadcast for Dynamo games.  I'm hoping that Glenn will still do radio coverage for ESPN 97.5.  If so, the radio broadcasts are streamed online, and you can sync up the sound with your tv.  There should be no voice other than Glenn's covering the Dynamo.  He is the voice for this city, this fanbase, and #ForeverOrange.

2022 Overview: 

What a weird mixture of a year this was.  Before the season, we had exciting news in the biggest transfer in organization history, we had retained several veterans from years past, and hired a manager who had never been in charge of a professional organization but was known for developing young players.  The plan seemed convoluted from the start and somewhat schizophrenic in nature. It played out exactly as you would expect and the Dynamo found themselves in the exact same position they had been in when they fired Tab Ramos the year before.  In a season that brought amazing (Sebas' midfield goal vs. Austin F.C.), some young bright spots (Coco Carrasquila, Thor, Brooklyn Raines), there were simply too many unproductive holdovers from the Dynamo teams of the past.  While there were signs that this organization was changing, change had not come swiftly enough.

In what seems to be a yearly tradition, the Dynamo started off the season giving the fanbase some hope.  Losing only 1 of their first 6 games (3 wins, 2 draws) the team was showing signs of change.  The defense was steady, and while the attack wasn't producing goals at a rate that scared anybody, the Dynamo were picking up points.  April hit, the rest of MLS figured out Paulo Nagamura's system, and the complete lack of creative attacking play (especially wide) dominated the rest of the season. While the Dynamo saw an improvement in terms of goals scored, (43-36) the defense managed to closely replicate that of the year before (56-54). Even with the addition of Hector Herrera, the midfield often bogged down as they had no wide threats to keep the defense honest.  There were newcomers that left fans hoping that better times as upon us. Sebastian Ferreira (13 goals, 3 assists, 2,300 minutes played) and Thor Ulfarsson (4 goals, 1 assist in his debut season) were bright spots in the attack.  Brief glimpses of Brooklyn Raines showed a youngster that could change our midfield and eventually be the guy our academy has been waiting for.  The biggest news came in March when Hector Herrera decided to leave Atletico Madrid for #LaNaranja.  The Mexican National and key player for a Champion's League side was the type of signing this fanbase had been clamoring about for years. The team never meshed with each other or with Paulo Nagamura's style of play, and after a very arduous summer, Paulo Nagamura was fired on Sept 4th. without completing his first year as a professional manager.  We (the fans) found ourselves in the exact same position as we have been in for several years: wondering where this club was headed and if they'd actually ever change.  Pat Onstadt and Asher Mendehlsohn went to work reshaping this club and this franchise in a flurry of moves over the winter, and while we all wait with optimistic pessimism, we should see some fruits of that labor this coming spring.
  

This Winter was a season of major changes on and off the field:

While last season brought about some massive and much-needed changes to the way business was done for #ForeverOrange, it didn't bring with it results on the field.  New owner, new GM, a huge name, the biggest transfer in the history of Houston Dynamo, the highest salary ever paid, and a massive jump up the ladder in Total Wages paid.  While the Dynamo fared 6 points better than in 2021, they landed in the exact same position as the year before.  

This offseason Pat basically gutted the roster.  The Dynamo offloaded basically every holdover from the 2020 campaign and the Matt Jordan era.  Of the guys traded, sold off, non-tendered, etc., The Dynamo slashed 14,901 minutes of playing time off the roster and every single fullback the team had outside of Griffen Dorsey.  Six of their top eleven in terms of minutes played (2,4,6,7,8 and 11) and most of their main contributors off the bench are now no longer members of Houston Dynamo F.C..  Vera, Lundkvist, Parker, Memo, Fafa, DQ, Zarek Valentin, Tyler Pasher, Zeca, Ceren, and Junqua, are all names that will no longer be on the backs of those sweet Bayou City kits.  Pat opened up a bunch of cap space by moving on from some high-paid, unproductive veterans and also landed a few fairly lucrative TAM/GAM deals by moving Adam Lundkvist (Austin F.C. - $500k), Tim Parker (St. Louis F.C. - $500k ) trading their first pick in the MLS Super Draft ($375k), Fafa (Nashville F.C. - $250k), and loaned out Matias Vera for an undisclosed amount.  All in all 16 players that stepped on the field at some point in the 2022 season are now gone.  While the roster changes were much needed, the players they brought in seem to be upgrades.  While there are still questions over formation and who will play LB during Brad Smith's absence, Pat Onstad seemed to have addressed the need to put younger players around Sebas who can both take pressure off of him AND give him service.  

Additionally, there were multiple organizational changes that we should be excited about.  SRC FTBL has its headquarters in downtown Houston and is led by the man who built Seattle's analytics department.  Scouting and Analytics have been an enormous hole in the Dynamo organization over the last decade.  In his interview with Glen Davis on Soccer Matters (1/24/2023), Asher Mendelsohn said their Scouting and Analytics department basically consisted of him, Pat, and Paulo last year.  They added new partners, in Shell Energy, Arca Continental Beverages, Bay Area Credit Union, and others.  They revamped the coaching staff, not just with Ben Olsen at head coach but by bringing Aurélien Collin, Tim Hanley and Adin Osmanbasic, and Branden Burke.  But mostly, for the first time in a long time the Front Office seems to have a plan to build a roster: (1) Put playmakers around Sebas to get him the ball. (2) Strengthen the midfield with two-way, box-to-box midfielders that can defend, make plays, and connect to the front line.  (3) Get younger.  Also, Segal gave the stadium a nice little facelift.  The new seats are a nice change from the "Turn your rear-end into Grilled Cheese" orange seats of before, now if we can just move all games to 2:00 in the afternoon so we can really take advantage of the Houston summer.  Also, hopefully, we actually fill them.  The Dynamo aren't standing firm in any part of their organization.  Literally, everything, from the front office to the stadium is being overturned.  It's only a matter of time before this becomes the first-class organization we've been waiting for.


2021/2022 Position Outlook:

Goalkeeper:



Steve Clark, Andrew Tarbell, Michael Nelson, Xavier Valdez

In one of his first moves, Pat Onstad brought in a veteran goalkeeper with playoff pedigree to help change the culture in the dressing room and solidify the position.  Plagued by erratic goalkeeping and distribution from Marco Meric, Onstad sought to bring a rock between the posts.  A goalkeeper that could lead the defense and provide a consistent and professional level of net minding.  While Clark's 2022 was most definitely a disappointing one, he was also obviously an upgrade at the position over to what we had before.  Clark ranked 9th in MLS amongst starters in Save% (72%), 5th in total saves (103) and  10th in minutes played (2,905).  While Clark was definitely an upgrade and played generally well, he often was 1 play away from pulling points in a game.  Part of that was him, and part of that was the defense in front of him.  Clark faced the 5th most Shots on Target and had the 8th highest XG-against out of anyone in the league.  The Dynamo defense allowed the second-most Shot Creating Actions in the league (888), and the second-most shots (493) and the average distance of shot (17m) was third worst in the league.  To put that in context, on an average day Clark faced 5 more dangerous plays than his counterparts in Austin, 4 more than in Dallas, and 7 more than his counterpart at LAFC.  Clark would have had to have been Super Human for the Dynamo to compete. 









While Clark was sometimes steady, he ranked in the bottom tier in the league in most goalkeeping categories.  Clark also seemed to fade down the stretch.  There were often times in the last two months of the season Clark simply didn't stop balls that he did at the beginning.  He seemed a step slow, a 1/2 second late, or failed to react to the ball at all.    This actually has me worried about Clark for two reasons: (1) At 36 years old, will he remain agile enough to be a ball stopper when needed? (2) The Dynamo lost a lot of depth on the back line, and didn't really provide an upgrade.  Dropping 1/2 of their back line from the last two years was needed, but they added no CB in front of him, a LB that's coming off a serious knee injury, and a RB that's talented but also undersized.  They did add valuable depth, signing Andrew Tarbell as the #2. “We talked about adding more quality and depth to our roster this offseason and Andrew’s signing aligns with that intention. Plus, his experience on three different MLS Playoff clubs will be invaluable as we restore a winning mentality at our club. We welcome Andrew and his family to the city of Houston.”  Michael Nelson and youngster Xavier Valdez complete the roster.  Valdez has a chance to be the #1 long-term, but will most likely spend this year with Dynamo 2.  

Central Defense:



 Teenage Hadebe, Daniel Steres, Ethan Bartlow, Micael dos Santos Silva

The biggest question for the Dynamo this year won't be in the productivity of the newly acquired attackers, it will be in the effectiveness of the back line.  Teenage Hadebe is a good MLS defender.  Teenage is sometimes spectacular and occasionally erratic, but he's a talented and athletic Center Back who (when he's on) will shut down opposing attacks quickly.  Hadebe is one of the most productive Centerbacks in the league, ranking in the top 1/2 of CB's in every category offensively, defensively and passing.  Even though he ranked low in Aerial Duels Won, his 65% conversion rate is in the top 1/3rd of the league.  Hadebe has a tendency to sometimes misread his partner, allowing balls through that he shouldn't, or missing a mark on a cross because he defers to a partner that isn't there.  He rarely gets beat 1v1.  He's really good with the ball at his feet, is a very accurate passer, and can hit the deep ball out of the back. 


The problem though is who will play next to him.  Steres is a fairly low-priced veteran who will bring stability to the position.  While Steres is an excellent passer, he's not a very active defender.  Steres isn't a great tackler is space, he doesn't really attack opposing ball handlers, he's not fast or quick and he doesn't win balls in the air.  At 31 years old, he is what he is, and is one of the positions the Dynamo actually got OLDER at.  While he is at the level of MLS starter, is he enough to bring this team out of the basement?  I feel like this is one position that was downgraded this offseason, but one they desperately need.  Bartlow came a long way last year.  He was solid for HD2 all year, and the Dyanmo actually performed well in his 15 appearances.  Going 6-2-7 (3-1-5 with him in the starting 11), Bartlow's performances were highlighted by his twice posting 9 clearances (2-1 win vs. LAFC, 0-0 draw vs Sporting K.C.) and his 4 block, 4 clearance performance in a 3-1 win vs. Inter Miami.  Bartlow has a chance to be a starting-level player in MLS, and moving on from Tim Parker should help him see more minutes in 2023.  Bartlow has to be more active on the back end, but he isn't afraid to go into challenges and is usually where he needs to be when he needs to be there.  While he isn't a Dynamic CB, he can be a good compliment to Hadebe and looks like another MLS Super Draft Pick that will pan out. If the Dynamo can add an obvious upgrade here at a reasonable price, you would assume they would have to take it.  Other than that look for Steres and Bartlow to split time opposite Hadebe and occasionally share the CB duties together.  The outlier is Micael, who played mostly for DynaDos last year.  He did make one appearance for the first team, in a 3-2 loss to CF Montreal.  The score was tied 2-2 when Micael came on the field at half-time for Memo Rodriguez, and he showed signs of being a capable first-team member.  Most notably, the ability to connect on passes at all levels.  Micael was 23-27 passing in the second half hitting 10-11 short, 11-13 from fifteen to twenty yards, and 2-3 on balls over 30 yards.  He's solid with the ball at his feet, big (6'3" 190 lbs) and athletic.  He's one to definitely keep an eye on moving forward, but may continue to get minutes with HD2 as the season goes on.

Full Backs:



Griffen Dorsey, Brad Smith, Franco Escobar, Djevencio van der Kust, Tate Schmitt

In an offseason of change, Pat Onstad moved on from one of the most steady presences in the Dynamo Lineup over the last 5 years.   Adam Lundkvist played 9,927 minutes and made 111 starts over the last 5 seasons, and while moving on from players of this generation was much needed, Lundkvist is one I actually am sad to see go.  Adam brought all he had every game, never complained or pointed fingers, and was generally a good human.  You'd love to have a guy like that in your locker room long-term, but both he and the club felt the need to move on and Pat got a decent chunk of cash for him.  It's unfortunate that he moved on to Austin F.C. for Dynamo fans, but was still a no-brainer of a move.  Zeca? Zarek Valentine? Same Junqua? All gone.  It was one of the many positions that got a much needed makeover, and basically got wiped clean for a fresh start.

Griffen Dorsey, the one holdover, quietly turned himself into a steady MLS back and presence in the starting 11.  Making 19 starts and playing over 1600 minutes played, Dorsey is a workhorse RB who plays up and down the touchline.  Dorsey is a decent passer, who was second behind only Darwin Quintero in Goal Creating actions/90.  Dorsey completed 19 passes into the opponents' penalty box, and while he needs to get better on the defensive side of the ball he made huge strides in terms of positioning and going into challenges.  Every single defensive ratio was vastly improved from 2021, including Ground Duels won, Tackle %, and tackles + interceptions/90.  His passing rate also climbed from 72%-78% over the year.  I would assume that the intention is to start the year with he and Franco Escobar at fullback entering the season, as Brad Smith recovers from ACL repair. Tate Schmitt who was brought in as a trialist during the preseason did enough to earn a contract with the Dynamo this year. The former Real Salt Lake player actually came through as a striker, but is now playing defender after making the switch there playing for Real Monarchs in the USL. The left-footer has decent size and speed, and is fairly versatile considering his lack of MLS minutes.  He did post 860 minutes in 14 appearances (10 starts) for RSL last year, and should be a decent depth piece for the Dynamo this year. Djevencio van der Kust comes from FC Utrecht as what has to be seen as a developmental project.  “We are excited to welcome Djevencio to Houston and look forward to his continued development after earning competitive minutes in one of the top leagues in the world,” Dynamo general manager Pat Onstad said in a release. “He is a promising young player that we believe can make an impact this season. He was very clear about why he wanted to join the club and we’re excited to welcome him."


Onstad brought in two solid veterans with winning pedigrees to fill out the squad in Franco Escobar and Brad Smith.  Escobar is a very underrated MLS back, and has been one of the more productive RB's in MLS over the last 4 years. He's very good going into challenges, scoops up a ton of loose balls (223 combined in his 2 years in Atlanta), “Franco is a winner in our league. Since coming to MLS in 2018, he has won every major domestic trophy available, including two MLS Cups, a Supporters’ Shield, Campeones Cup, and the US Open Cup,” Dynamo general manager Pat Onstad said in a press release.“He will strengthen our backline and provide valuable experience to our locker room. We are thrilled that Franco chose Houston in the next step in his career.”  Escobar works at a similar rate to Adam Lundkvist on the defensive end, is very good bringing the ball forward, and is a very accurate passer.

Central Midfield: 



 Coco Carrasquilla, Hector Herrera, Artur, Amine Bassi, Juan Castilla, Brooklyn Raines, Daniel Rios, Charles Auguste,
 
In a series of moves, Pat Onstad brought down the hatchet on an underperforming, often overpriced midfield that has been one of the Achilles heels on the team for half a decade.  What's here now are three very good veterans and a flurry of young talent off the bench.  Coco, HH, and Artur are an interesting trio in the midfield, as they don't have a true creator in the bunch.  The three fit a flexible 4-3-3, as long as there is creative play from the edges.  Artur is more of a traditional 6, a deep-lying defensive midfielder that can get the ball back in multiple ways and get it downfield.  Replacing Matias Vera, Artur is a different kind of player.  He's bigger, better with the ball at his feet, and can break lines with the dribble and the pass.  Vera was always a ball hound in the middle, and one of the highest accuracy passers in MLS year in and year out. But he did little to get the ball forward and really struggled against high-pressing teams.  While he completed a ton of passes, they were mostly sideways and backward.  Artur, winner of the 2020 MLS cup with the Columbus Crew, will help protect the backline and can play the ball up to the players in front of him.  He's a bigger, stronger version of Vera who can play progressively, and at the same age as Vera (27) is a great addition to the midfield.

The pairing of HH and Coco should mean we'll see a drastic shift in the way the Dynamo go forward.  There is no more Darwin Quintero, meaning there is no #10 to play the ball through.  Coco really came on last year, especially as a progressive midfielder.  There weren't many better at taking defenders on regularly the way Coco was last year.  His 53 successful dribbles were 16th best in MLS, and his 69.7% success rate was second behind only Thiago Almada (71.2%) of players that attempted at least 34 dribbles.  His 170 passes completed into the final 1/3rd was 12th best in MLS, and his 128 progressive passes ranked 28th.  Coco has problems making that final play, but improved in every attacking ratio (GCA/90, key passes, passing %, dribble rate) last year, and at the age of 23 you can expect him to continue to uptick.  Coco is a true box-to-box midfielder, and partnered with HH will demand a lot from the players in front of him.  

While the results didn't trend with Hector Herrera, he was statistically brilliant for the Dynamo last year.  Hector Herrera brought something the midfield was desperately missing: A guy who can burn you with any pass at any time.  Herrera is a deadly accurate passer, especially downfield to players on the run. (Like this beauty to Sebas vs. Montreal). Herrera, at 32, has lost a step and has trouble keeping up with pacier MLS attackers, but he's extremely smart and knows how to position himself well.  He was successful at 70% of the tackles he attempted last year, and he turned those into passes sprayed all over the place.  Herrera was extremely poised on the ball and seemed completely unbothered by his opposing mark most of the time.  He was an instant impact from the second he stepped on the field, but many times the person on the other end of his passes wasn't up to the task.  Was he worth the price Ted Segal paid?  If you look at the results: no.  Is he a cornerstone piece that the Dynamo can build off of? Hopefully.  He needs playmakers and players around him.  He's not going to win you games by himself, but can definitely win you games.  His success will depend on the wing players added this winter panning out, and the defenders behind him shutting down attacks.  Regardless of the results, he's one of the better central midfielders in MLS.  Statistically, there are few even on his level.

What's really telling about the future of this midfield and the direction that they are heading is that they dropped Darwin Quintero, Memo Rodriguez, Mattias Vera, and Darwin Ceren and only brought in Artur as a replacement.  This should speak volumes about what they think of their two most intriguing academy products: Brooklyn Raines and Juan Castilla.  Both of these guys are hyperactive, tenacious defenders who will get the ball back and get it forward quickly.  Raines is a blur who flies all over the field, gets the ball at his feet, and wants to take people on. While he's young and still has a lot to learn, you could tell from his few first-team appearances in the USOC that he's a player, and he's not scared of MLS-level defenders or attackers. When Castilla is on, he's a wrecking ball of a ball winner in the midfield.  If you watched DynaDos this year, Castilla always caught your attention from the way he went after the ball. There has been a lot of conversation lately about the plan for Castilla, who put on a tremendous show for Columbia's U20 team this past week.  As of now, these two are the ONLY options off the bench for Ben Olsen, and along with Charles Auguste make up the midfield bench for the Dynamo (as of today) in 2023.  In my opinion, this is an awesome mix of featured midfielders with the ability to get Castilla and Raines on the field in order to develop.  It shouldn't be surprising for both of them to get between 700-1000 MLS minutes and make a combined 10-15 starts.  I would think that as Training camp goes on the Dynamo would look at a couple of things: (1) Utilizing Bassi in DQ's role from a year ago (2) A veteran midfielder to add depth, just in case.....(3) which formation is the best use of this collective group.  This isn't a sexy midfield, but it should be a very effective one.

Forwards: 



Sebastian Ferreira, Thor Úlfarsson, Baird, Ivan Franco, Amine Bassi, Nelson Quiñones, Beto Avila, Ifunanyachi Achara

Sebastian Ferreira was worth every penny.  The biggest transfer fee in Dynmao history, DP slot, $1.2 million dollar salary, all of it was worth the show that he put on over the 2022 campaign.  We all know the midfield strike against Austin F.C., and the touch and control in the above goal vs. Montreal, but add to that his brace vs. San Jose (Match Day 6), his 1 goal - 2 assist evisceration of LA Galaxy (Match Day 12), the poise and calm in front of net in both goals of a brace against Nashville, all while never getting the service he needed to be a truly dominant force in this league.  Ferreira only managed 65 shots for the year (26th in the league). Ferreira can be a 20-goal scorer in MLS.  There should be no doubt about that, the only thing that will stop him from doing that is the guys he plays with.  And the guys that he's been surrounded by are a big question for next year.  Iván Franco comes to Houston from Libertad in Paraguay.  The former teammate of Sebastian Ferreira, Franco once showed enormous promise scoring 11 goals and notching 5 assists in 40 total starts at the age of 18.  In the last three seasons, between various nagging injuries and a knee sprain, he saw a sharp drop in minutes played.  He does rack up assists at a high rate, notching 5 in 900 minutes played last year.  He plays nice through balls, he strikes the ball well, he can put it in the back of the net, but is opportunistic, and he plays mostly left wing (which the Dynamo are in desperate need of). What might be the most vital is that he's played with Sebastian Ferreira before, serving 2 seasons (2020, 2021) at Libertad with the Dynamo feature attacker.  The opposite wing will be occupied by either Corey Baird, Amine Bassi, or Nelson Quiñones.  Baird came on strong at the end of last year, posting 2 goals and 4 assists over his last 8 appearances (all starts).  He's a high-energy worker and might have found his niche playing on Ferreira's right side.  Newcomer Bassi is a solid technical player who has played the bulk of his career in the French 2nd Division.  He hasn't factored much for Metz the last two years and hasn't registered a goal or assist since 2020 when he played for Barnsley in the Championship.  The 24-year-old has played the bulk of his minutes as an attacking midfielder (FC Nancy-Lorraine) and has registered 28 goals and 23 assists in 145 appearances.  The honest report here is none of us should know what to expect from Bassi.  There's competition at RW, and he's never been an overly productive player.  He could be a perfect fit, or he could be another disappointing International Slot player.  The most intriguing may be the youngster Quiñones.  The 20-year-old is a burner, plays direct, has the chance to be a Dynamic winger in this league.  While he has a long way to go to, he could be the RW compliment this team needs. We could also see Thor at RW, or in a 2 strikers system (4-4-2) like Olsen used early in his DC United days.  Thor will definitely be in the mix in some way, after scoring 4 goals and 1 assist in his debut season.

Head Coach:


When Ben Olsen was hired as Coach, I read a lot of posts on Twitter, Reddit, and Big Soccer with a common theme: "Same old Dynamo." The pragmatic in me completely disagrees with this take.  Ben Olsen is not a guy with no professional head coaching experience known mostly for his ability to take youth teamers to the first team.  Olsen has 378 games under his belt as manager of DC United, and has the 9th most wins of any Coach in MLS history. He's had the best record in the Western Conference twice, and also had the worst record in the conference twice.  Is he a sexy hire?  Absolutely not.  What he IS is more qualified than anyone we've seen on the touchline in Houston in a very long time.  "Ben is an experienced MLS head coach with a strong track record of building playoff teams and developing young players,” Pat Onstad said in the press release “Ben is the right leader for our club as we begin making significant changes to field a more proactive, younger and competitive team in the coming years. We are excited to welcome Ben and his family to the city of Houston and we are already hard at work on the 2023 season.”

The only thing Dynamo fans want to know is "will he make the playoffs?" With a shaky backline, an aging goalkeeper, and many new attackers that need to adjust to the style of play in MLS, the answer is unlikely.  "Can the Dynamo make the playoffs with Olsen?" Absolutely.  He's proven he can do it, when the talent is there.  "Can he win the Cup?" That has yet to be seen.

Olsen was known in the early days of his D.C. United tenure for a 4-4-2, and a hybrid 4-2-3-1.  Recently he had bounced between a fluid 4-3-3 and a 3-4-3.  His teams are normally solid defensively, and have always had the ability to strike quickly when needed.  Mostly, his teams have had a quality striker paired with a solid midfield.  While Pat said that Paulo Nagamura was also the right hire, and I'm not sure Ben Olsen is THE answer, I do believe he's an obvious upgrade tactically and with his experience over Paulo, Tab, and Wilmer Cabrera.  

Synopsis: 

Pat Onstad routinely talks about a  "Proactive" approach to soccer.  After a year of watching it, I still have no idea what he means by it.  What can be absolutely sure is that he, Asher Mendehlsohn, and Ted Segal are 100% committed to making this not only a better team, but a better organization.  The new players will need time to gel, and adjust to the physicality of MLS.  As we saw with Sebastian Ferreira last year (who didn't score his first five games), the pace, speed, and physicality of MLS can take time to get used to, especially when playing in lower-tier leagues like Paraguay and 2. Ligue.  Finding the space and timing on the wings to be on the other end of a HH pass will take time on the training pitch.  Connecting the back line and knowing "who" and "when" Hadebe and Steres are marking will take time for the additions at FB and Artur.  This (on paper) should be a better team, but are they playoff capable is the question?

The Dynamo will have to answer the bell early as the first half of their schedule is extremely challenging. Cincinnati, New England, Austin, NYFC, San Jose, LA Galaxy, Seattle, NYRB and others, there's not a night off, especially with the first two on the road.  This team has lost a lot of goal scoring and playmaking in DQ and Fafa, they lost a key CB in Tim Parker who the neither replaced nor upgraded.  There are still lots of questions as to who will play, how they will play, and whether some of the new players can play at this level.  There are questions around whether Ben Olsen is the guy who won the Western Conference in the regular season, the coach who got bounced in the first round of the playoffs, or the guy who won the wooden spoon.  There are soo many questions that can't be answered until we actually see this team on the field, the only thing we know is that it will be very different from the one we saw last year.

Prediction:

With the league expanding to 18 playoff teams this year, there is a decent chance the Dynamo sneak into the playoffs.  Olsen will have them more organized, despite the uncertainty around the back line they will concede under 50 goals for the first time since 2017.  Sebastian Ferreira will be one of the most productive strikers in MLS, and the Dynamo will finish 9th in the Western Conference.  They will make a run to the round of 16 in the U.S. Open Cup, and will benefit from the additional playoff slots.  If they do get in, an early exit will be anticipated.

Thanks again for reading, 
Remember to always #HoldItDown and stay #ForeverOrange

Brian